CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97eaa9f391d2216d090b327ffb0d5fd94907d8ad6c36dd0e5c716a0220e606be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Sharks, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sharks | 59c | 3,999$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.71 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Sharks | 54c | 2,573$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.96 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked FOKUS | 61c | 2,245$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.76 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FOKUS | 29c | 600$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed Sharks | 72c | 557.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.11 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked FOKUS | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sharks | 44c | 458.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.78 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Sharks | 78c | 432.52$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed FOKUS | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS | 33c | 352.57$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked FOKUS | 38c | 321$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FOKUS | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS | 32c | 294$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Sharks | 75c | 282.91$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Sharks | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Sharks | 36c | 246.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.91 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FOKUS | 37c | 241$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed FOKUS | 72c | 184.49$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.83 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sharks | 71c | 163.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sharks | 64c | 157.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…eb10backed Sharks | 70c | 143.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Sharks | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked FOKUS | 42c | 139.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Sharks | 72c | 138.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FOKUS | 41c | 135$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Sharks | 47c | 126.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Sharks | 38c | 126.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…04cebacked Sharks | 61c | 125.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…57ecbacked FOKUS | 34c | 118.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked FOKUS | 62c | 105.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed FOKUS | 70c | 100.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…bf34backed FOKUS | 43c | 83.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked FOKUS | 61c | 81.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked FOKUS | 32c | 68.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…85e6backed Sharks | 61c | 40.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed FOKUS | 50c | 35.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Sharks | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FOKUS | 31c | 32.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FOKUS | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Sharks | 63c | 28.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sharks | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Sharks | 80c | 24.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Sharks | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship PlayoffsFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.