TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55e9…bf34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
317
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT23644.1%104 W · 132 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 236 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$75.83
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.3
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.96
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$25.6
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs SAW - Map 2 Winnerbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$43.88
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+212.7%+$82.36
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$20.99
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+188.5%+$53.4
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.64
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$291.94
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.83
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.29
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Endless Journey - Map 2 Winnerbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+175.4%+$81.1
Counter-Strike: WBT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.17
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+113.6%+$79.52
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW - Map 2 Winnerbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.4
Showing 25 of 236 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.68
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.06
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.08
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.81
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$19.83
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$27.26
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$13.26
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$132.61
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.78
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$75.11
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$51.65
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.26
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$89.21
England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.51
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.16
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.53
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+177.2%+$162.47
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.37
Will Norway win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.5
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.72
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$96.08
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$30.16
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.74
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.71
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$15.52
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.21
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.11
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.04
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick52cpaid+56.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+51.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+203.8%+$73.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.