TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,827

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,961 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbe87…6fc0backed No48c10,519$5,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,085.556355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Yes54c7,522$4,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,486.151050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c6,840$3,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,883.342,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes50c5,964$2,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,981.971735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c5,727$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,367.365,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes52c4,147$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.1351749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes43c3,833$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,182.212544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed No50c3,777$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.561947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Yes53c3,429$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.72887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick51cpaid+82.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes80c3,418$2,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.4982434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed No44c2,912$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.729248.9%45 W · 47 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes54c2,437$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.9420046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes51c2,343$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.9842962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes26c2,170$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.752445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No47c2,118$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.317556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No51c2,025$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.651,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No56c2,006$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.483,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No45c1,816$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.031,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Yes59c1,505$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.714951%25 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes63c1,322$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.2637540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No65c1,221$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.211230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c1,199$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.593,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes78c1,176$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5136339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No7c1,062$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.342623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No46c1,002$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.891,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No45c999.98$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9933745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No47c999.95$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.985050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No46c967.6$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.123057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes53c931.71$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.5244843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No74c930.98$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.9224665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes70c887.29$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.4510667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes58c840.35$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.9515945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes57c683.65$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9710750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed Yes54c671.83$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes14c662.95$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.895044%22 W · 28 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes65c602.74$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.0116740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No12c597.54$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4857157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No61c572.26$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.562,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Yes59c556.36$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.22846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No11c518.2$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3447758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes57c512.74$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.487047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No45c508.25$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.3213248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No9c496.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3863657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes54c457.09$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.088447.6%40 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes34c448.88$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.3789645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes53c436.9$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.631,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed No46c435.92$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.523943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d1…f579backed Yes55c416.64$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.011936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes46c365.05$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.6614335.7%51 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes53c363.43$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0131745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes52c336.62$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.624847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes60c325.8$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No43c313.97$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.141,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No40c313.82$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.531,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes17c309.91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.6911127%30 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No44c308.75$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3918452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes51c302.58$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.858,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No41c277.23$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7119630.6%60 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No43c274.43$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183828.9%11 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes55c270.06$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2716842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed No9c268.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.82512%3 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-64.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No45c253.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.313545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No48c252.9$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.91,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba2d…2f32backed No44c243.56$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1780%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No47c232.88$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.151,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a1d…ce4abacked Yes52c230.87$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.82475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes57c228.4$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3521765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No74c220.05$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.139763.9%62 W · 35 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+47.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No48c213.8$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8416759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No47c206.22$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9717143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No49c200.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.211,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No50c193.68$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.142944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes20c192.3$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.1525625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No47c186$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.232,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.855155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No45c179.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.481,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4976951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853231.3%10 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5911849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked No16c151.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.25660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Yes56c141.48$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.286958%40 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No46c140$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.47149.3%35 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No46c139$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3625955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes58c132.93$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.834452.3%23 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes53c132.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1710331.1%32 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Yes58c117.07$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.282751.9%14 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64b1…f556backed No26c109.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.33147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-77.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes54c108.04$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.72941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes59c107.46$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.065026%13 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes53c106.9$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2451654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes60c104.58$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8318733.2%62 W · 125 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes56c104.31$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.95028%14 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No55c100.61$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.831,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes57c99.13$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.631369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes57c97.42$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8918543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes14c94.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.568337.3%31 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0918743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Yes49c91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9613247.7%63 W · 69 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.