South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51d9b57b5394620686c6d9cc498497ad152e32b0daae8ba859c46189adfc5dec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 41c | 4,288$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.04 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 71c | 2,374$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.81 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 2,161$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.38 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 64c | 1,937$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.71 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 34c | 829.98$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.13 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 767.29$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.55 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 78c | 731.52$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.2 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 714.27$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…c95fbacked Yes | 37c | 655.34$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 41c | 559.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.82 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 62c | 556.17$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.01 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 61c | 501.75$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.94 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 7c | 448.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 61c | 422.02$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.47 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 61c | 387.31$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.07 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 295.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 74c | 208.32$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 62c | 206.64$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 48c | 202.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 24c | 198.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 171$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 8c | 158.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes | 8c | 158.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 41c | 156.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 145.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 139.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 37c | 129.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 24c | 119.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 54c | 114.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed No | 71c | 101.02$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 54c | 90.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 75c | 86.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 24c | 83.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 20c | 74.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 23c | 69.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 53c | 65.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 37c | 64.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed No | 77c | 64.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 25c | 55.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 44c | 48.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 47c | 45.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 41.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…0bbebacked Yes | 46c | 41.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 76c | 38.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Yes | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 45c | 32.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 39c | 27.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 51c | 25.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 58c | 17.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-04-21?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.