TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will FC Juárez win on 2026-04-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,141 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes22c3,394$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.581735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c3,129$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.298,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes24c2,882$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.282,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes7c1,298$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.225226.9%14 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No55c1,218$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.672944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes9c1,007$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.533920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No41c834.05$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.7723254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes64c759.77$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.6730847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No78c730.9$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1557157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes61c680.69$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.0182434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked No80c617.5$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.510750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No65c601.36$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5410667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No53c601.22$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.7184943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes20c535.5$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.333,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No33c530$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3577128.2%20 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes51c524.58$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.895,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed No41c504.94$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.085062%31 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No32c500.48$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.2530841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Yes25c497.55$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes23c495.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7318452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes34c419.27$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.589645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes25c381.86$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.483,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Yes69c283.19$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.344562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes9c272.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6315945.9%73 W · 86 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe43…8f09backed No77c265.5$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.073366.7%22 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No77c255.3$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0547758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No64c252.92$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0713248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No48c242.54$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1268535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed No56c236.1$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.312544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes43c225.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5711819.5%23 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes60c209.77$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.621,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed Yes24c198.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.723333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes13c194.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4913814.5%20 W · 118 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No63c179.98$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.051,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No29c167.55$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9650746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No56c158.71$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8999259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Yes74c146.82$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.652882.1%23 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes66c138.14$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8244843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99ec…0da5backed No42c137.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.59966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+45.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed Yes23c118.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.378439.3%33 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked No46c117.07$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.714452.3%23 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Yes24c113.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2114535.9%52 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes33c112.05$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.771,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed No30c111.76$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.237061.4%43 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes22c107.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.141,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No77c103.77$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3663657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes24c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No77c98.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.687862.8%49 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes44c96.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.526842.6%29 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1dc4…3479backed No77c93.35$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.47666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes24c89.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.321,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed No26c88.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+58.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No76c85.1$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4226160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No60c81.69$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6820059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe343…0bbebacked Yes75c78.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes20c68.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.645251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No76c64.54$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2644959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes32c63.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.562,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes43c62.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.831,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No38c62.09$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.281,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+68.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes44c58.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0516842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No77c58.57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4733266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No32c58.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3994848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No63c56.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1137540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes44c54.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1611553%61 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes75c53.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9911863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c51.16$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.281,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No78c50.39$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.197460.8%45 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No33c44.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5271619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No54c44.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2741145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked No56c43.41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.013231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed No59c41.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7210946.8%51 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48bc…4391backed Yes73c40.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed No79c40.49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.511861.9%73 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes43c39.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.811,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No34c38.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3313023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd628…a698backed No79c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.871266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No78c34.22$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4325864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabd8…553cbacked Yes74c33.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.611883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.130858.4%180 W · 128 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Yes49c29.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.75660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x59b8…4fa1backed Yes46c25.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No78c23.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No78c23.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.148851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No78c23.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1447756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No78c23.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1412259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No78c23.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1438861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed No78c23.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.141154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f1…5823backed Yes74c22.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No76c19.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.629053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked No77c18.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.198350.6%42 W · 41 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed No77c16.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.86933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Yes74c16.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.927265.3%47 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5622…0111backed No79c15.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-53%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No77c15.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4628665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45be…9b55backed Yes72c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.