TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64b1…f556

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT3426.5%9 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
Madrid Open: Dalma Galfi vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.95
Madrid Open: Daria Snigur vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.43
Madrid Open: Janice Tjen vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Madrid Open: Talia Gibson vs Emiliana Arangobacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$11.55
Oeiras 4: Sofia Costoulas vs Elena Pridankinabacked Sofia Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Madrid Open: Panna Udvardy vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Madrid Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Carlota Martinez Cirezbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Svyatoslav Gulinbacked Svyatoslav Gulin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.64
Madrid Open: Shuai Zhang vs Eva Lysbacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.47
Shymkent: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Daniil Ostapenkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$14.24
Abidjan: Florent Bax vs Karan Singhbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$5.31
Abidjan: Sebastian Gima vs Niels Viskerbacked Niels Visker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$25.19
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$9
Madrid Open: Peyton Stearns vs Lois Boissonbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.67
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dalma Galfi vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.77
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Darwin Blanchbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$12.5
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+312.2%+$48.63
Tallahassee: Oliver Crawford vs Jack Kennedybacked Oliver Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Liudmila Samsonova vs Coco Gauffbacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.92
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrezbacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+203.6%+$241.47
Oeiras 3: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Beatriz Haddad Maia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.59
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$12.26
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+193.5%+$43.88
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$6.71
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.44
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.9
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+161.5%+$22.16
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+97%+$45.13
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.94
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.36
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.89
Maple Leafs vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$8.14
Sharks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+146.2%+$17.75
All 16 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-77.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.33
CR Flamengo vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.43
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.54
CA Aldosivi vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.4
Will CR Flamengo vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)backed CA Lanús · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
América de Cali vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.49
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+149.3%+$83.73
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.64
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$5.17
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.69
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.52
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+152.8%+$61.13
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
SD Eibar vs. SD Huesca: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.92
Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)backed SD Eibar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$5.94
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$8.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.