Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedea0f70edbcf27f8f20d9eb179b2c7668dfb9a1c3b8c32e1132ad75dc1d4437
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RC Celta de Vigoof SC Freiburg, RC Celta de Vigo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked SC Freiburg | 23c | 1,403$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…f7bbbacked SC Freiburg | 2c | 668$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SC Freiburg | 38c | 467.39$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.26 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RC Celta de Vigo | 58c | 401.6$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.14 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked RC Celta de Vigo | 23c | 179.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.82 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed SC Freiburg | 45c | 175.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed SC Freiburg | 45c | 175.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 166.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.57 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed SC Freiburg | 71c | 74.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed SC Freiburg | 23c | 45.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed SC Freiburg | 65c | 45.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b1…f556backed SC Freiburg | 23c | 43.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked SC Freiburg | 41c | 43.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 38c | 29.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed SC Freiburg | 75c | 28.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed SC Freiburg | 51c | 27.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed SC Freiburg | 75c | 26.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked SC Freiburg | 75c | 26.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked SC Freiburg | 75c | 26.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SC Freiburg | 75c | 25.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed RC Celta de Vigo | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.