TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under35c20,593$7,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,115.871,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Over65c16,631$10,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,820.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c11,118$3,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,888.513,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over59c8,000$4,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,279.99757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over67c5,053$3,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.491478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+33.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6905653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c1,812$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.0191950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over77c1,554$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3504141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over64c1,551$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.361145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under22c1,381$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.071,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed Over79c1,296$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.289100%9 W · 0 L+4.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+109.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over78c1,265$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.332462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under23c1,087$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under5c834.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8513040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under19c743.29$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.792650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under5c668.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9719250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under24c589.6$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2416543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under29c578.84$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1514654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under30c577.96$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4438453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under30c565.74$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.139056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over68c522.64$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.371457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over75c508.7$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1778344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53f2…defdbacked Under16c464.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.591827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under24c442.44$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9270239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under37c424.42$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3810956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over78c420.58$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.534045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over68c414.83$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.919141.8%38 W · 53 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12010034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under24c394.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.672,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9959…c137backed Under29c383.78$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over78c379.54$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.52360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over71c322.04$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.39560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Under23c316.39$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.773060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over76c300.02$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.263847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6369448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under34c286.61$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8738047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under34c261.81$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9114552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over78c253.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6714767.3%99 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under39c225.23$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8211443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Under23c209.84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under26c196.22$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.39616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Over77c192.12$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.194100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51a4…02d6backed Under22c190.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under22c186.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.333033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Over65c160$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5a…5875backed Over78c158.14$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+125.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Over71c155.74$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.831258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.838369.9%58 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cab…e9c4backed Over77c125.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea77…686ebacked Over78c124.56$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.41369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under23c123.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.398349.4%41 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c122.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.342,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over76c111.66$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7115240.8%62 W · 90 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over76c105.04$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.219443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under23c104.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.298853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Over77c99.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233450%17 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Under22c96.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.271435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under25c95.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5184850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under34c86.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.441450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8d…bcdfbacked Under25c69.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Over78c69.58$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.313066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x610d…6c37backed Over69c69.48$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+52%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over73c67.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.941952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Over74c66.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.881361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under33c65.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0366…b7f8backed Under23c64.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under22c63.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d8a…7a39backed Over78c63.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick76cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over78c63.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.921752.9%9 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick71cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f9b…555cbacked Over78c63.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+43.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under24c62.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.958254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over76c61.91$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8620056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under20c61.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2550154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.66456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…8ddabacked Under41c58.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+83.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over73c54.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8321243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94ab…83f5backed Over78c45.54$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.02475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Over78c45.39$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.992669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x913f…d2ebbacked Over61c44.83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.481580%12 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+49.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf890…6ca9backed Under44c44.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef0…d45bbacked Under24c43.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-78%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked Over78c43.01$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.461060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under24c41.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under38c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410344.7%46 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe083…d0d5backed Over70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ea…05b8backed Over78c39.55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.71283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick73cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Over77c34.81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11656.3%9 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick72cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84c3…6f21backed Over70c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over77c32.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.571782.4%14 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick73cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe57c…b99bbacked Over68c28.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.015100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaf9…1646backed Over78c26.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.841631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over74c24.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.351936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over73c24.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.645660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c3d…977abacked Over61c23.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over77c17.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.133381.8%27 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick70cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc19d…aea3backed Over66c17.85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over76c16.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.923759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over78c15.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.481181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.24568.9%31 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.