TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under47c33,888$15,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,927.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over53c30,908$16,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,527.241163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over53c10,893$5,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,131.4612832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under47c8,349$3,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,902.3643344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under46c8,340$3,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,874.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c6,531$2,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,953.453,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under35c5,669$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.195635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over53c5,581$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,623.099954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Over54c5,348$2,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over54c4,648$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.111050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under54c4,579$2,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.61666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under37c3,384$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.442,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.965653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c2,942$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.3391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c2,876$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.211,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under49c2,787$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.42650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over53c2,722$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.574141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over53c2,540$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.793154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over54c2,419$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c2,174$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.061,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over52c1,951$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.441464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+57%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over53c1,944$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.494050%20 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c1,726$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.992850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under46c1,417$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.3514552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over53c1,272$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under46c1,233$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.3214654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under47c1,209$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.366136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5061833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Over51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over34c1,072$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.811631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick22cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under47c1,000$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.3111443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under47c987.62$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+95.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under45c906.82$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.8310956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under47c852.22$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.543839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under44c810.7$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.891942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under42c751.04$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.9984850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over52c653.69$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.778100%8 W · 0 L+4.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over53c641.75$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.622634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under6c638.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4119250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Under47c617.9$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.983060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c612.64$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4538047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ec…0923backed Over53c550.08$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.54475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over54c540.22$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.51040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Under39c536.99$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under47c534.83$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.3716543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under27c531.22$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.432650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Under62c523.27$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.43850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over51c503.4$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.671963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004573.3%33 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2359345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over52c499.93$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under20c476.45$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.292254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over53c476.18$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.813953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over79c459.4$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.474045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bea…facbbacked Over54c450.19$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.09683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+61.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over62c447.96$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.167677.6%59 W · 17 L+13.5wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+35.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over55c427.67$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.452650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.649056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked Under48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.76714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-74.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbff1…3f4fbacked Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18850%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.882846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under37c394.15$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0570239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over75c394$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.58165.4%53 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over42c391.49$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.653847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.365433.3%18 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40a4…c6a9backed Over53c361.05$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf218…61babacked Over54c360.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.671070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+76.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Over53c348.38$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.741457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53f2…defdbacked Under32c336.98$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.191827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over51c325.4$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4574155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Over58c324.57$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.87850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under47c318.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.598853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13869448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Over53c289.6$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.111338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over54c270.11$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.251050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked Over65c268.83$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfddc…931abacked Under48c265.37$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Over53c264.04$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Over58c253.26$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.43955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over53c253.03$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.932347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Over53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.52075%15 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Over54c249.91$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.967042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7521…9997backed Over52c224.12$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under47c215.72$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.393033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Over54c208.09$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.722842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb4e…6081backed Over53c205.36$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.52850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8840%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Under48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.88862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2080…6d80backed Over77c201.29$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12010034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under48c199.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.998331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under38c198.1$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.24616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over52c196.11$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.132157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e55…d611backed Over71c195.68$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14cd…efdcbacked Under60c195.2$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+55.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over76c194.53$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.692382.6%19 W · 4 L+4.8wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+42.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.652254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.65520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-61.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.181947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.182360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.