TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SC Freiburgof RC Celta de Vigo, SC Freiburg
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,991
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,991 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c58…a5a1backed RC Celta de Vigo28c25,687$7,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,175.71837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked SC Freiburg72c11,254$8,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,155.912850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed SC Freiburg74c9,674$7,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.273,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed SC Freiburg72c9,181$6,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+113%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed SC Freiburg72c6,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6801040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed RC Celta de Vigo28c5,740$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.131741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed SC Freiburg73c5,164$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.331258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed RC Celta de Vigo25c4,006$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.538124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed SC Freiburg72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8403151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked RC Celta de Vigo4c2,683$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.162,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed SC Freiburg77c2,299$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.7784850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2814…2941backed SC Freiburg72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed SC Freiburg73c1,996$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.911361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked SC Freiburg72c1,301$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed SC Freiburg72c1,217$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.65650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed SC Freiburg72c1,150$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.051,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed SC Freiburg72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa99b…1211backed SC Freiburg72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-52.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked SC Freiburg72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28088048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed SC Freiburg72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked SC Freiburg72c999.96$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed RC Celta de Vigo29c985.53$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.256119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked SC Freiburg71c902.99$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.873360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked RC Celta de Vigo24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked RC Celta de Vigo7c493.41$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4319250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked RC Celta de Vigo30c399.17$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.75540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed SC Freiburg72c369.51$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.463033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed SC Freiburg70c357$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.15836.2%21 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed SC Freiburg72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.225635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked RC Celta de Vigo28c341.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.686844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed RC Celta de Vigo28c341.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.685433.3%18 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked SC Freiburg71c336.77$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.661361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed SC Freiburg75c333.27$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.933060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed RC Celta de Vigo5c270.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.512,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed RC Celta de Vigo7c262$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7213040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe91c…317ebacked SC Freiburg73c256.06$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed SC Freiburg79c232.41$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3910956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked SC Freiburg79c232.41$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.399056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed SC Freiburg79c232.41$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3914552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked SC Freiburg79c232.41$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3911443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked RC Celta de Vigo30c197.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.48117.3%14 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed SC Freiburg74c188.95$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.021275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed SC Freiburg72c186.08$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.166150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed SC Freiburg71c184.69$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.251,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed RC Celta de Vigo27c180.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.822828.6%8 W · 20 L-7.4wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed RC Celta de Vigo28c170.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.842025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed SC Freiburg73c167.25$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.161070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5343…6523backed RC Celta de Vigo28c165.68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed SC Freiburg71c145.31$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.141844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed SC Freiburg72c136.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.24933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed SC Freiburg73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.39955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed SC Freiburg74c133.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.631471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed RC Celta de Vigo28c130.36$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8616543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked RC Celta de Vigo28c113.62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.815740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed RC Celta de Vigo28c108.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.482429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked SC Freiburg73c103.19$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed RC Celta de Vigo26c101$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.261833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed SC Freiburg70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3012633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked SC Freiburg71c94.11$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.292479.2%19 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd7c9…1ec6backed SC Freiburg73c92.17$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed RC Celta de Vigo28c90.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.454141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed RC Celta de Vigo28c77.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.743917.9%7 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed SC Freiburg78c74.61$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1814654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed RC Celta de Vigo23c69.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1116013.1%21 W · 139 L-18.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x403a…3173backed SC Freiburg71c69.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed SC Freiburg75c65.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.421090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked SC Freiburg76c59.13$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9170239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed RC Celta de Vigo29c49.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.362245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked RC Celta de Vigo28c47.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.223030%9 W · 21 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x38bb…2fcfbacked SC Freiburg73c40.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.92560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed SC Freiburg73c39.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.635448.1%26 W · 28 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8c0…e44bbacked RC Celta de Vigo28c38.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.72333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked SC Freiburg73c33.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4201…b54dbacked SC Freiburg72c32.13$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked SC Freiburg79c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.561338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4043…3f36backed SC Freiburg72c30.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92f…dc7cbacked SC Freiburg73c29.78$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.047100%7 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed SC Freiburg72c28.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.075850%29 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked SC Freiburg74c28.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.314358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b1…812bbacked SC Freiburg72c27.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…348ebacked SC Freiburg73c27.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.441250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed SC Freiburg73c27.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.174751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed SC Freiburg72c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5638047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd082…1375backed SC Freiburg73c26.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x759c…2febbacked SC Freiburg73c26.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2b…e55dbacked SC Freiburg73c26.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed SC Freiburg73c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2137043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked SC Freiburg73c21.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7910761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d37…7a08backed SC Freiburg73c20.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed SC Freiburg72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed SC Freiburg73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+45%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed SC Freiburg72c16.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.656956.5%39 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked SC Freiburg68c15.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9463857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.