Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73dd9874e53a1be44bd61b9cb75033f1dbf9562042fe7a56d4ddcdf2bf9bba24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SC Freiburgof SC Freiburg, RC Celta de Vigo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed SC Freiburg | 77c | 3,140$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.25 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed SC Freiburg | 9c | 3,137$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.34 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed RC Celta de Vigo | 55c | 1,519$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.77 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RC Celta de Vigo | 75c | 1,468$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.92 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed SC Freiburg | 9c | 434.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.76 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed RC Celta de Vigo | 10c | 228.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked SC Freiburg | 25c | 200.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.13 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed SC Freiburg | 9c | 189.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.06 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 12c | 127.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed RC Celta de Vigo | 54c | 123.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed SC Freiburg | 25c | 112.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked RC Celta de Vigo | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked SC Freiburg | 25c | 93.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 12c | 91.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed RC Celta de Vigo | 12c | 88.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 13c | 83.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a1…0cd3backed SC Freiburg | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed RC Celta de Vigo | 73c | 56.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…02d6backed RC Celta de Vigo | 75c | 55.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked SC Freiburg | 42c | 52.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed RC Celta de Vigo | 49c | 49.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed RC Celta de Vigo | 76c | 18.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 61c | 17.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed RC Celta de Vigo | 76c | 15.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 76c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed RC Celta de Vigo | 78c | 13.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.