TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,404
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,052

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,404 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c8,162$4,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,928.173,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c7,055$3,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,735.652,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over47c5,120$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.322650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over29c3,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.925653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over40c2,960$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.6984850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Over50c1,913$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over65c1,885$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.1863857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0d8…6052backed Over48c1,272$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over27c1,121$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.321776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+51.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Under70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Under70c977.74$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.411323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over30c958$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.612832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under63c831.65$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.0314552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under63c786.24$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.0314654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over30c729$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.31631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick22cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under69c728.45$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.6343344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c722.84$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.5870239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99b…1211backed Under68c719.13$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.01728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-52.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under63c717.46$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.3510956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under62c694.33$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.816543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under53c612.2$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.1238047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Over33c599.95$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.97944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under61c582.33$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.1111443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over27c499.96$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.973847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14cd…efdcbacked Over31c499.77$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+55.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Under68c491.32$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.13655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under15c465$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.82222.7%5 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+87.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under54c453.7$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under15c450$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under74c419.79$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.9576941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.642650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53f2…defdbacked Under38c354.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.371827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under15c349.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Over31c308.51$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under71c294.78$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.292369.6%16 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3e…ca63backed Over51c294.32$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over31c293.67$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.634141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over41c289.26$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.664045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe91c…317ebacked Under70c280.57$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under72c274.66$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.579056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over72c273.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.478165.4%53 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Over61c267.36$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.27785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over37c257.55$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.191464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+57%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under37c255.64$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over60c249.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.962166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+52.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under63c244.14$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.815635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c240.85$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.831,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Under72c240.34$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.043557.1%20 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over71c236.65$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.633878.9%30 W · 8 L+8.4wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+46.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf218…61babacked Over32c215.82$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.761070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+76.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d7e…fac0backed Under74c211.29$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.35560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under71c207.59$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.393036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Over29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1424537.8%17 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over52c199.97$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.983366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Under73c197.89$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.233060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over28c180.41$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.361,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over62c173.37$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.881855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed Over57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.491163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over40c167.88$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bfe…9408backed Over24c162.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+76.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over31c158.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3513040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2c…32bcbacked Under77c156.73$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under63c155.21$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Under70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.21560%9 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Under12c124.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b1…f556backed Over30c119.56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.84633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over41c117.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.42382.6%19 W · 4 L+4.8wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+42.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over29c112.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.71,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb39d…b695backed Under65c105.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under42c102.27$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.995547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8010034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbff1…3f4fbacked Under37c94.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0350%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over65c92.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.216136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over49c90.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.023348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under74c88.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.841560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Under80c88.92$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.142373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over28c85.05$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.249443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over34c84.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.939222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2080…6d80backed Under75c82.65$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51a4…02d6backed Over49c80.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Under71c79.86$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5730%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over31c77.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.345040%20 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over38c76.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.132025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over28c75.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b79…e5d8backed Over68c72.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over53c71.51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6117447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Over70c70.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.042580%20 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8761…c1ebbacked Under70c70.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.130%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under69c69.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.141833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under71c68.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.518254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under65c65.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.658853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under59c64.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.134358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over30c61.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2369448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under69c61.62$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.513033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over21c60.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6323461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Under52c57.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.252060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under71c57.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.738349.4%41 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under71c57.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.734546.7%21 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.