TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c2b…e55d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
182
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Valorant at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.76
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$24.43
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.41
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.24
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.67
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.19
Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.38
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.63
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.95
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.66
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.68
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.89
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$26.27
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.57
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.49
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
LoL: Joblife vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.96
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.98
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.98
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.81
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.39
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.52
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.04
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.87
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.74
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.64
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.63
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.49
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.18
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.81
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$15.86
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$8.98
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.57
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.48
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$15.69
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.49
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.59
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.01
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.41
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.63
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.3
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.77
Canucks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2075%15 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport - Map 2 Winnerbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs Vexar (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffsbacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$8.85
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.93
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Basement Bobs (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.81
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.75
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.25
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.06
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca - Map 1 Winnerbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.12
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.37
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$27.18
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs TYLOO (BO5) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Playoffsbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.81
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.37
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.15
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.85
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.96
All 20 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.25
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Cub Swanson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.35
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Aaron Pico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.95
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.06
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Kelvin Gastelum · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Ethyn Ewing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.35
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Virna Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1,262.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+80.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+133%+$17.53
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Independiente del Valle (-2.5)backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.65
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)backed CS Independiente Rivadavia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.39
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+50%+$248.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$97.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.