Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef6a538656c2bf4248e3a4498e15aac132bcebfe0542fa55cc40f30bf4438635
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $391,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $399,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 29c | 81,313$23,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,278.86 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 30c | 48,668$14,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,842.81 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 30c | 42,523$12,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,623.96 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 51c | 20,920$10,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,686.96 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 54c | 17,112$9,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,240.06 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 68c | 10,677$7,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,414.46 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 8,453$6,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.57 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 72c | 7,876$5,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.14 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 72c | 7,874$5,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.31 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 5,838$4,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.05 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 54c | 5,448$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.15 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 63c | 3,783$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.05 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 72c | 3,128$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.44 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 2,579$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.63 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Yes | 21c | 2,365$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 63c | 1,699$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.96 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 38c | 1,583$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.24 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 66c | 1,484$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.64 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 62c | 1,173$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.78 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 1,133$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.1 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 63c | 1,041$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.44 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes | 53c | 1,040$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.95 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 58c | 1,008$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.88 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 79c | 996.26$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.21 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 76c | 935.62$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.55 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 25c | 934.14$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes | 37c | 872.49$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 22c | 846.16$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.87 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 37c | 805$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.15 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 68c | 723.87$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.55 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 65c | 699.44$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.22 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 25c | 649.19$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 18c | 599.56$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 129 | 20.2%26 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 73c | 572.18$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.26 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 28c | 550.78$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.22 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 544.01$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.78 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…8913backed Yes | 59c | 496.92$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 41c | 483.72$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.28 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 61c | 450.36$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.23 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 32c | 433.47$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…c40ebacked No | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Yes | 59c | 328.92$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.12 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 52c | 321.39$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.22 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 69c | 284.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 53c | 278.91$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.81 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 46c | 277.76$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.16 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 65c | 276.85$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 62c | 267.31$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.73 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 39c | 251.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 43c | 247.84$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 78c | 228.61$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes | 58c | 217.08$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 10c | 209.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed No | 77c | 192.12$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c9a8backed No | 79c | 189.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 77c | 186.54$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 33c | 177.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes | 54c | 168.85$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 58c | 159.67$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 56c | 158.82$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 23c | 156.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…73d2backed Yes | 22c | 142.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 140.03$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 77c | 128.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…bc86backed No | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 73c | 124.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 22c | 121.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 48c | 120.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 27c | 118.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yes | 28c | 117.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 79c | 110.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 23c | 107.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 31c | 102.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 16c | 101.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 52c | 97.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 96.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed No | 59c | 94.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…74ffbacked Yes | 22c | 91.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed No | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 21c | 90.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 89.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 43c | 86.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes | 58c | 84.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…9368backed Yes | 26c | 83.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…118cbacked No | 59c | 80.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…a21ebacked Yes | 25c | 68.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked No | 71c | 66.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 52c | 64.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed No | 47c | 64.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…9740backed No | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…f78dbacked No | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked No | 43c | 57.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 64c | 55.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 63c | 53.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.