NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Blues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7833c39e5397ccdd148e15a0e848a6736008499f2a7846c0ddfc6885a33f8e3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Penguins, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,609,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,594,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,609,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 703 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Penguins | 36c | 509,382$183,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183,203.11 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Blues | 62c | 217,431$133,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,557.52 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Blues | 56c | 156,124$88,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,034.58 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Blues | 64c | 83,500$53,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,060 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Blues | 65c | 58,315$37,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,589.96 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Penguins | 43c | 55,762$23,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,977.66 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 41c | 49,602$20,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,383.79 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 64c | 40,635$25,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,662.83 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Blues | 57c | 36,399$20,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,741.85 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Penguins | 34c | 35,055$11,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,918.61 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blues | 35c | 32,090$11,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,940.4 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Blues | 65c | 31,573$20,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,163.64 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blues | 63c | 30,242$18,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,276.61 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…433dbacked Penguins | 39c | 25,389$9,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,892.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Blues | 63c | 21,006$13,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,701.95 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Blues | 56c | 20,000$11,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,703.98 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Penguins | 43c | 19,560$8,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,410.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Penguins | 37c | 19,291$7,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,042.77 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Blues | 60c | 19,100$11,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,578.44 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Penguins | 35c | 18,070$6,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,324.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d1…8ecabacked Penguins | 43c | 17,046$7,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,325.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Penguins | 40c | 15,404$6,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,233.04 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blues | 53c | 14,823$7,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,984.5 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Blues | 65c | 14,700$9,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,145 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Blues | 66c | 14,545$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,945.45 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…2e78backed Penguins | 40c | 14,309$5,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,665.21 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Blues | 65c | 12,584$8,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404.4 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Penguins | 45c | 12,500$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Penguins | 53c | 11,958$6,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,280.36 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 41c | 11,569$4,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750.58 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Blues | 22c | 10,477$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,206.37 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 72c | 9,851$7,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,092.52 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Penguins | 35c | 9,760$3,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,371.6 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…0b30backed Penguins | 43c | 9,586$4,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Penguins | 48c | 9,424$4,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,510.81 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Penguins | 59c | 9,163$5,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,443.06 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blues | 57c | 9,094$5,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866.69 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Blues | 39c | 8,283$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,045.84 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Penguins | 40c | 7,789$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,126.72 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Penguins | 44c | 7,500$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…2c2abacked Blues | 61c | 6,776$4,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.33 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Blues | 66c | 6,605$4,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.19 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Penguins | 42c | 5,905$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.23 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Blues | 47c | 5,724$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.3 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Penguins | 44c | 5,500$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Blues | 31c | 5,376$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,715.21 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Penguins | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Penguins | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Penguins | 44c | 5,000$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Penguins | 44c | 5,000$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Blues | 57c | 5,000$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.99 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Penguins | 39c | 4,959$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.01 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Blues | 65c | 4,677$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.95 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Penguins | 34c | 4,599$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.5 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Penguins | 51c | 4,518$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.53 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Penguins | 40c | 4,442$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.16 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed Penguins | 40c | 4,321$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Blues | 64c | 4,153$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.08 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x394e…450fbacked Blues | 29c | 4,082$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Penguins | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Penguins | 52c | 3,956$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.99 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Penguins | 40c | 3,864$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Penguins | 45c | 3,826$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.74 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Penguins | 35c | 3,737$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.4 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Blues | 38c | 3,517$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.46 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blues | 48c | 3,345$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.4 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Blues | 65c | 3,340$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.02 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Blues | 66c | 3,333$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.22 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Penguins | 34c | 3,333$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.22 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Blues | 65c | 3,314$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Blues | 62c | 3,220$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.91 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…bc0ebacked Penguins | 78c | 3,207$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Penguins | 48c | 3,177$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.85 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Blues | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Blues | 59c | 3,031$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.7 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Blues | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Blues | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…9343backed Penguins | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Blues | 57c | 3,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Penguins | 21c | 2,895$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Penguins | 55c | 2,876$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.6 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 34c | 2,867$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.72 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Blues | 56c | 2,821$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Blues | 60c | 2,804$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Blues | 62c | 2,738$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.34 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Penguins | 43c | 2,734$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Penguins | 35c | 2,730$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.49 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Penguins | 39c | 2,726$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.06 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Penguins | 40c | 2,616$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.81 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Penguins | 26c | 2,600$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.3 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Penguins | 56c | 2,594$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.14 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…5275backed Penguins | 43c | 2,527$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Blues | 28c | 2,487$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.59 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Penguins | 35c | 2,486$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Blues | 51c | 2,346$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.6 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Penguins | 45c | 2,300$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Blues | 43c | 2,300$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.94 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Blues | 29c | 2,253$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.34 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6d7bbacked Penguins | 34c | 2,222$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Penguins | 40c | 2,116$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.73 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Bluesthis page
- Penguins vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Blues: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Blues won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.