NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22a7f9ece891ab0ae10e1c0d18a863de5cd6ee6712b63daea30d0612de5e31ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Blues, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Blues | 8c | 8,011$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,370.22 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Penguins | 59c | 3,796$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.49 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Blues | 9c | 3,454$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.1 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blues | 42c | 2,146$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.59 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Penguins | 65c | 2,100$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Penguins | 68c | 2,065$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.28 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Blues | 42c | 1,476$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.08 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Blues | 34c | 1,139$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.87 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Blues | 32c | 1,095$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Blues | 11c | 1,094$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.81 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Blues | 38c | 1,032$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.97 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Penguins | 58c | 1,008$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.88 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Penguins | 66c | 999.98$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Blues | 32c | 899.25$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.49 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Blues | 9c | 851.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.09 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Penguins | 75c | 599.95$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.96 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Penguins | 66c | 593.11$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.64 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Blues | 40c | 587.25$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.54 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blues | 48c | 543.39$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.28 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…85e5backed Penguins | 30c | 417.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Blues | 46c | 387.04$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blues | 35c | 301.69$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.06 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blues | 25c | 293.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.82 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Blues | 25c | 268.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.89 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Penguins | 57c | 231.86$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.09 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Blues | 35c | 219.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.78 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Blues | 36c | 201.88$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.37 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Penguins | 56c | 182.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blues | 25c | 173.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Penguins | 57c | 158.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Blues | 41c | 156.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Penguins | 59c | 137.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Blues | 42c | 136$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Penguins | 58c | 134.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Blues | 42c | 119.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blues | 44c | 112.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Penguins | 61c | 108.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Penguins | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Blues | 33c | 90.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Blues | 44c | 87.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 56c | 85.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Penguins | 58c | 85.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Penguins | 58c | 83.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Blues | 42c | 77.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Blues | 40c | 76.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Blues | 75c | 73.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Blues | 32c | 69.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Penguins | 59c | 68.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Penguins | 21c | 65.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Penguins | 58c | 58.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Blues | 44c | 55.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Penguins | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Penguins | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Blues | 79c | 47.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Blues | 34c | 45.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Blues | 32c | 37.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Penguins | 57c | 35.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked Blues | 34c | 33.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Blues | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed Blues | 43c | 32.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…155bbacked Penguins | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Blues | 34c | 29.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Blues | 48c | 26.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…8b87backed Blues | 42c | 24.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Penguins | 57c | 23.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Penguins | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Penguins | 70c | 18.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Penguins | 71c | 16.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)this page
- Penguins vs. BluesBlues won
- Penguins vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Blues: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.