TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,155 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa080…234fbacked Raptors52c14,442$7,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,454.0414842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Raptors52c14,047$7,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,283.3311457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Raptors51c11,250$5,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,737.481,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Knicks48c10,092$4,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,247.6716640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks49c9,948$4,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,073.731,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks50c8,370$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,210.436,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors50c6,976$3,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,488.041,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Knicks51c5,137$2,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,523.2282442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks48c5,104$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,662.79,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Knicks48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60012745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors52c4,958$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,581.444,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Raptors52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.9987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Raptors48c3,439$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.65030%15 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks49c3,425$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.273,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors51c3,357$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.832,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks61c3,220$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Raptors51c2,560$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.63948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Knicks50c2,426$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.3632351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0daa…c9dabacked Raptors53c2,294$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.722060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Knicks48c2,091$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.324535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Knicks49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Knicks49c1,939$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.7972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Knicks54c1,650$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.4263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors51c1,299$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.614,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Raptors51c1,241$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.1137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Knicks48c1,225$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6372846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Raptors50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Knicks49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.998348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Knicks48c1,163$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.5356453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Raptors52c1,155$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.71,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks53c1,122$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.583,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Raptors52c1,121$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.724348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Raptors50c1,086$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.224032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Knicks48c1,013$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.7331643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks49c1,010$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.111239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Knicks49c989.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.486656.1%37 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Knicks50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48544345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Raptors22c967.06$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.851,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Raptors27c859.35$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.092,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Raptors52c836.17$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.812,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks52c803.19$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.2890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Knicks49c712.52$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.3944740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Knicks55c708.88$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7958953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Knicks48c700.41$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.212951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Raptors51c699.09$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Knicks54c684.65$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.81,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Knicks57c646.75$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.151,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Knicks48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8629848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Raptors52c602.14$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.1120650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Raptors51c540.32$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.5645251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Knicks50c518.47$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.2859255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Knicks52c510.86$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.7119254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Knicks52c504.64$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Knicks49c502.54$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Knicks59c493.12$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4662546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Raptors49c489.1$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.712,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Raptors54c486.2$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5521653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb59a…cc2ebacked Knicks50c480.15$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.081947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72d…449dbacked Raptors51c477.02$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.142166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Raptors51c475.78$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6519258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Knicks50c450.38$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1910737.4%40 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68e…30cfbacked Raptors51c406.69$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.753860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f5e…1a04backed Knicks48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.916162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Raptors50c401.92$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9627645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed Raptors53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.364953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks49c366.2$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.461,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Knicks48c364.48$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5313442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Raptors19c350.54$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8426337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb244…9b39backed Knicks49c346.21$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.571471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks48c332.57$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.941,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Knicks49c330.39$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.535052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Knicks49c296.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3536248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Knicks50c293.88$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9412857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3042…7156backed Knicks51c291.18$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c26…0ad3backed Raptors50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Knicks54c285.84$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.612,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac83…239cbacked Knicks49c280$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f61…328abacked Raptors51c271.77$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x992a…0a57backed Knicks50c266.75$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Knicks49c250.11$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5516048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Knicks49c247.3$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1226755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Knicks49c242.35$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.62,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors35c241.38$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.443,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Raptors35c236.88$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.861,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Raptors45c236.19$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.35,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Raptors50c231.32$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.664544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fd…c1b7backed Raptors51c227.12$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1dd…57d4backed Knicks50c226.98$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Raptors51c226.66$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.171,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Raptors54c218.93$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2226553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0550…1c84backed Knicks47c210.34$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+82%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Knicks49c210$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.152951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Knicks49c209.71$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9513151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Knicks52c206.56$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.985752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Knicks47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1814046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Knicks48c206$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.139448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Knicks48c203.41$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5547357.9%274 W · 199 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Knicks50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9749852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Knicks50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Raptors50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9738152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.