TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,398 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbedb…3b26backed Over51c19,998$10,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,198.8516346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c18,252$9,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,010.461,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under53c16,583$8,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,837.6215545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c9,882$4,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,086.289,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c9,301$4,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,856.6484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c8,582$4,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,350.544,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under50c7,882$3,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,975.3263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c5,985$2,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,947.944,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under49c5,296$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.8890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over47c4,213$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.0114946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over39c4,001$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.093,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c3,919$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.52,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under51c3,882$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.388153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over47c2,951$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.7514940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under49c2,646$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.521,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under49c2,646$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.5258953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under49c2,626$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.351,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over51c2,219$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.6856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c2,183$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0512,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Over49c2,071$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.975635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over21c2,037$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.288844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.9613148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under48c1,968$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.1731046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over50c1,940$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97070246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c1,930$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.038,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under54c1,718$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.4364651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under51c1,477$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.962,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under66c1,369$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46635942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c1,358$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.171,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f0…1e62backed Under48c1,307$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.795547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Under48c1,113$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.794544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55035049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5728948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0980…bdaabacked Over46c1,052$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5208652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Over52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under49c989.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.4865349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under49c989.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.4819254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over55c969.56$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.2246258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over7c911.31$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5826337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over47c830.18$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.1819745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Under62c792.15$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.6517047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under49c761.5$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.7471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Under52c760.42$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.1211556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.861,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Over5c508.57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6811639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under48c452.92$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5235546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over51c419.11$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.7518650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7929848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under48c387.52$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5124949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over10c350.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3552230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under48c337.14$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3116946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7248…635bbacked Under46c332.85$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe73c…2ca4backed Over55c328.87$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over52c300.05$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.531,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Over51c298.8$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.392951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under67c293.11$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0832151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Over51c285.47$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5926048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over8c259.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.031,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under49c234.15$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.421,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.961151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Under48c193.76$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.766845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under48c179.97$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5921347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under76c157.8$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9160049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under49c148$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4839448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8321147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under74c145.83$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.151,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over32c129.65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.833,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over40c122.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over51c114.26$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2314444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over44c114$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Under49c113.82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.058350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over46c107.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2644551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under48c106.91$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over50c105$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x62db…d58ebacked Under48c103.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.62065%13 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4525348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0d…2044backed Over52c95.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.533548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under49c94.85$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3735052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under48c94.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2710256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over43c91.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5240750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed0…b5b8backed Over43c91.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.52240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4940…430dbacked Over43c91.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc75…5431backed Over45c88.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.553348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b11…58c9backed Over45c87.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.563647.2%17 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over46c86.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6911648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Under48c84.77$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0818054.4%98 W · 82 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under47c84$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6465630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Under48c81.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.292846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under58c75.47$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.821,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over51c73.77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.621,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over49c73.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7938947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over50c69.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5523840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c62.92$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.831,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over40c61.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6210718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under49c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2757051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under49c58.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6620558.5%120 W · 85 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66fc…2720backed Over46c57.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.381752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.