TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,818 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors45c43,634$19,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,659.574,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Raptors47c11,230$5,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,278.181,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks55c11,136$6,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,984.951,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors50c10,606$5,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3031,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors45c10,116$4,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,518.491,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Knicks53c9,344$4,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,391.6474748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors45c7,187$3,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,254.356,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Knicks56c6,374$3,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.3914556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Knicks50c6,047$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,023.4937355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors48c4,422$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,139.654,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Knicks53c3,017$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.0117052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Knicks52c2,619$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.8421957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Raptors47c2,437$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.4714842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Raptors45c2,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Knicks54c2,071$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.596058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Knicks50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors46c1,474$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.879,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Raptors48c1,466$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.831,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Raptors47c1,220$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.373948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Raptors45c1,074$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.4545251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks53c1,068$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.913,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Knicks54c1,056$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.998354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Knicks54c1,017$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.657337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Knicks53c916.79$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.8914045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Knicks52c846.96$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.5420051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks53c586.95$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.872,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Raptors48c544.86$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.0521147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Raptors46c415.95$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.65,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Knicks53c403.39$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5921653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Knicks53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3648751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Knicks53c366.71$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3576250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Knicks54c357.04$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.528949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Raptors46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Knicks50c264.13$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0741553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Raptors46c258.28$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.811,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Raptors45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.52,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Raptors37c249.27$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.991,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb244…9b39backed Knicks53c247.53$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.341471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc66b…1435backed Knicks53c220.03$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.411258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b3c…2832backed Knicks54c218.79$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…bb29backed Raptors47c213$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Knicks68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6438464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Knicks54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9289853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Raptors46c195.62$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9924849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Knicks54c194.48$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4673649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…7b24backed Raptors51c194.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910045%45 W · 55 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Knicks50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9720346.3%94 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Knicks51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2516959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Knicks53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.187548%36 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Knicks54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8311551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Knicks54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8310945.9%50 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Knicks55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.611,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e14…fcd1backed Knicks55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.61955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Knicks53c167.76$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8580653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Raptors47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.57341.1%30 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks51c142.53$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.321,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Raptors40c125.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.493,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors39c117.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.343,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Knicks54c106.24$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.871030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Knicks52c103.75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.826745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c4…2d95backed Knicks50c96.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.023036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd15…d579backed Knicks51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+47.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Raptors19c95.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0852230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Knicks53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0917342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Knicks53c89.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2976552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Knicks53c89.41$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0240541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Knicks53c87.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.465045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks73c86.07$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Raptors48c81.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9537848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Raptors44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Knicks54c79.1$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4427645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Knicks54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.59958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2768…6bc6backed Knicks53c73.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.711154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17a3…8cb3backed Knicks54c70.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.354254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Raptors46c67.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4165630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed Knicks52c65.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9720554.6%112 W · 93 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Raptors47c63.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.981,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Knicks60c60.56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0663746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Raptors44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x077b…11d4backed Knicks53c59.15$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick51cpaid+76.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Knicks55c58.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2785248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Knicks52c57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1839448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e1…f5a9backed Knicks53c55.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.854858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3a…978cbacked Knicks53c54.83$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.771060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb130…7767backed Raptors47c54.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x812e…2fbabacked Knicks53c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a0…7310backed Raptors47c51.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.121566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff7c…f13abacked Knicks53c51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.971241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x960a…42f1backed Raptors47c50.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.77650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb4b…fd62backed Raptors47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00d…e9b0backed Knicks53c48.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.841040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Raptors47c48.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7516951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d8f…98b1backed Knicks53c47.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.381145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…061cbacked Knicks53c46.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.06742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Knicks78c46.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2511059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Raptors45c45.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3323840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f5e…bc03backed Knicks53c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.151428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd196…6d5dbacked Raptors47c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.15825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86c2…594cbacked Raptors47c44.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.93933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4426…ea88backed Raptors47c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.681050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.