NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c46910415cf5a59a95af7f99972376699a4d24332c7c9dbad23621f42531b0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x299f…2140backed Raptors | 54c | 11,250$6,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,075.02 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 50c | 2,901$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Knicks | 46c | 1,959$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.67 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raptors | 48c | 1,412$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.86 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks | 47c | 1,354$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.79 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Knicks | 53c | 997.71$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks | 51c | 697.31$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.81 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Knicks | 47c | 677.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.25 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Knicks | 47c | 677.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.25 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Knicks | 47c | 677.19$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.39 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Knicks | 51c | 625.34$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.37 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Knicks | 50c | 601.03$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.53 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Knicks | 46c | 528.06$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.15 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 56c | 432.48$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Knicks | 46c | 403.24$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.75 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks | 63c | 352.96$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.52 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Raptors | 55c | 315.6$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.58 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Raptors | 56c | 266.75$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.38 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Knicks | 46c | 249.64$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.81 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Knicks | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Raptors | 55c | 194.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Knicks | 46c | 189.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Knicks | 46c | 187.21$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Knicks | 44c | 180.02$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Raptors | 56c | 176.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Knicks | 46c | 124.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Raptors | 55c | 123.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Raptors | 54c | 119.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 54c | 108.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Raptors | 56c | 105.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Knicks | 47c | 102$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Raptors | 54c | 95.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Knicks | 46c | 94.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…bfaebacked Knicks | 49c | 79.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Raptors | 57c | 78.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors | 44c | 78.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 51c | 65.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Knicks | 43c | 61.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 55c | 59.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Raptors | 55c | 58.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Knicks | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Raptors | 49c | 55.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Knicks | 46c | 52.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Knicks | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Knicks | 53c | 42.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Knicks | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f42bbacked Raptors | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Knicks | 46c | 33.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Knicks | 62c | 33.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Knicks | 46c | 31.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Knicks | 46c | 31.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Knicks | 46c | 31.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 160 | 20%32 W · 128 L | -27.0wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Raptors | 55c | 24.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Knicks | 46c | 23.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Raptors | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jamal Shead: Points O/U 5.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Raptors vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Raptors vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.