TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Raptors, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,807,114
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,810,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,807,114 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 808 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Knicks71c138,333$98,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,070.6936549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Raptors17c100,494$17,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,143.178750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors29c72,270$20,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,911.211,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Raptors31c69,629$21,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,585.1449244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Raptors27c55,035$15,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,020.045030%15 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Knicks71c49,913$35,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,473.6520758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Raptors22c47,886$10,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,487.3311737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks77c47,823$36,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,912.562,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Knicks76c46,391$35,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,231.6866248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Raptors7c44,542$3,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,278.621,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Raptors29c38,811$11,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,255.076043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Raptors31c37,097$11,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,499.929343%40 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9410…ffcdbacked Raptors16c36,112$5,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,822.054030%12 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Knicks66c31,108$20,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,576.591,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Raptors29c30,000$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,7001,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors29c29,048$8,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,529.874,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Knicks69c28,917$19,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,060.4421350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors30c28,163$8,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,440.894,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors5c18,257$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.321,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Raptors30c18,075$5,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,422.638434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Raptors31c17,979$5,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,585.3239349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Raptors1c17,544$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7516919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Raptors1c15,199$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.931,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7202…e51abacked Raptors34c15,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1002147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks76c14,938$11,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,629.021,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Raptors29c14,806$4,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,293.671,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors29c14,729$4,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,255.559,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Raptors31c14,444$4,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,477.674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Knicks71c13,839$9,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,013.448662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Raptors31c13,101$4,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,061.442437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Raptors0c11,921$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.525213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raptors3c10,572$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.51,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Raptors13c10,080$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.12,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Raptors34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40020454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Raptors29c9,627$2,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,791.8821951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Raptors11c9,308$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.862,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa8…5419backed Knicks68c9,191$6,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors13c7,589$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.691,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Raptors31c7,342$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254.3461851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Raptors5c7,339$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.4493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Knicks72c6,728$4,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.0414959.7%89 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Raptors7c6,542$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.4536023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Raptors25c6,486$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.1311335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Raptors29c6,362$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.2389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef4…22e0backed Knicks71c6,022$4,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.413562.9%22 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Knicks68c5,977$4,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,935.7937355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1570…de29backed Knicks73c5,852$4,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.493043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors9c5,833$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.771,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Raptors8c5,168$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.8756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Knicks71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45014244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Knicks71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45015740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Raptors30c4,999$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.752524%6 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Knicks69c4,845$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.2629250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Knicks63c4,842$3,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.73732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks69c4,820$3,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.262,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2023…e84abacked Raptors37c4,811$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Knicks71c4,780$3,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.1822542.2%95 W · 130 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Raptors29c4,536$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.475843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Raptors31c4,219$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.3216743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Raptors29c4,212$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.5220744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb529…f3ffbacked Knicks69c3,920$2,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe474…5bedbacked Knicks80c3,826$3,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.26100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Raptors0c3,738$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.518820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Raptors11c3,686$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.7765349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors10c3,684$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Raptors1c3,562$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.37211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Knicks69c3,432$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.918558.8%50 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Raptors30c3,098$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.377236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Raptors13c3,071$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.955,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Raptors29c3,009$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.7122643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Knicks69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9303767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Knicks69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9307051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74c6…13ebbacked Raptors31c2,896$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Raptors1c2,891$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.558923.6%21 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc542…c0f5backed Knicks70c2,874$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+51.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Raptors19c2,822$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.3663746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94ce…edf2backed Raptors34c2,800$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9521668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Raptors30c2,715$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.631,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Raptors32c2,704$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.2262347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Raptors32c2,551$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.4412257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Raptors34c2,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8501723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick48cpaid-51.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Knicks68c2,498$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.2965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Raptors20c2,471$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.9590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Raptors29c2,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.53948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8be2…494abacked Knicks71c2,394$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.182673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Raptors29c2,364$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.3326247.7%125 W · 137 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Raptors13c2,284$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.881,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Raptors23c2,234$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.231,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed Knicks69c2,100$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.0711852.5%62 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12a0…3c0ebacked Knicks71c2,076$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.0215853.8%85 W · 73 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e5…9343backed Raptors30c2,061$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.991338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Raptors18c2,034$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.253,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Raptors29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Raptors31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62019747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Raptors30c2,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59019937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Raptors22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44089444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Raptors35c2,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.99911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-85.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fd…7fefbacked Raptors6c1,984$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.721650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Raptors30c1,980$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.255346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc025…c169backed Knicks73c1,968$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.252254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.