NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x899cb55b4de19879bdbbcb9ebf756bc4229a0b9814429225d8880a0c12cbf059
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 10,575$5,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,287.35 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 8,718$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,252.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 49c | 7,940$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,890.48 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 4,942$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.15 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 50c | 3,374$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.1 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 1,997$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.28 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 1,519$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.29 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 52c | 1,494$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.19 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 50c | 1,078$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.84 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…65fabacked Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over | 48c | 930.7$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.61 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Over | 48c | 930.05$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.42 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Over | 49c | 800.43$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.62 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 562.09$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.69 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 53c | 415.17$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.26 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Under | 56c | 347.65$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.92 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 51c | 263.89$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 52c | 215.83$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 16c | 215.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 206.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 137.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 50c | 104.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…a3e9backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 53c | 100.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 97.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 33c | 95.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Over | 47c | 91.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 43c | 78.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 57c | 76.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 54c | 72.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeda…6595backed Under | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 43c | 55.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 42c | 55.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Under | 55c | 48.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 50c | 48.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 50c | 36.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 36.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…85cbbacked Under | 49c | 33.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 75c | 29.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 49c | 28.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…379bbacked Under | 73c | 27.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…40e2backed Under | 54c | 21.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 21.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…8cf5backed Under | 52c | 20.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jamal Shead: Points O/U 5.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Raptors vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Raptors vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.