TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0daa…c9da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$909Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$908.5
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040.26
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$350
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$555.79
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$878Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$877.86
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,459Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,293.54
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,215.72
Spread: Heat (-16.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,892Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$3,050.83
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$189.42
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$186.04
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,047.53
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$984.4
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$849.07
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,094.64
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.53
Spread: Hornets (-15.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10,851Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$5,890.89
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,955Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,075.63
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,966Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,814.87
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$780.85
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.76
LoL: Disguised vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+71%+$553.47
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$287.99
LoL: EKO Esports vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked Zena Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,282.94
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$977.2
LoL: VfB eSports vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked VfB eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,425Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$2,360.53
LoL: G2 NORD vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$1,319.83
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$2,855.44
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,975Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$997.1
LoL: devils.one vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked BOMBA Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,970Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$510.88
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$553.77
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$418.89
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$78.45
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.45
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.45
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,674.94
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$765.33
Sharks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+78%+$1,365.38
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$674.75
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$246.27
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$298.88
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$118.62
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$416.42
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,429.59
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,034.92
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.48
Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,186.32
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,456Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,398.81
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$1,352.33
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$238.55
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+125.4%+$606.05
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Virna Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.83
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hailey Cowan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.38
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Dione Barbosa (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Melissa Gatto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
All 7 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CS Cienciano (-1.5)backed Academia Puerto Cabello · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.05
CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.97
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.