TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Under52c17,018$8,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,235.7118352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c13,986$6,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,679.585,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Under45c5,833$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,222.672634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under46c5,668$2,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.7711055.5%61 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c3,946$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.713,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c2,728$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.412,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb5d…d917backed Under80c2,239$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-79.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked Over48c1,919$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over48c1,853$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.32,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over30c1,467$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9919135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over46c1,179$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.7150746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over38c1,020$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.671,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0daa…c9dabacked Over53c999.95$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over44c657.76$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.922,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over49c553.94$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.43825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over53c514.89$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.8999259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.21,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under72c409.67$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.712646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Under71c381.58$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.531758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over49c376.74$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.27269.4%50 W · 22 L+12.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5c75…0809backed Over48c368.53$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under48c297.79$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2272350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c296.66$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.438,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Under46c281.24$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8729446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over23c248.15$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9985220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Over39c247.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.342045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over23c238.54$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.395028%14 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08cb…6741backed Under71c233.18$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1831745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e94…4186backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Over49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9519659.7%117 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over48c192.81$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9122853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over25c191$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7511127%30 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c182$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3630754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over40c149.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.313,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over36c133.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.162142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Over49c131.39$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3814535.9%52 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c65…6b11backed Under75c131.14$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.633964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c4…fe0abacked Over19c125.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Over41c124.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.78155.6%45 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over48c116.26$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.83046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe49b…a829backed Over48c116.26$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526046.7%28 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over20c99.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204731.9%15 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under70c99.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.663657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Over48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.54858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c0…2489backed Over43c87.31$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.233345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507f…6dbbbacked Over48c80.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over51c76.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.217162%44 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over31c72.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over53c63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.396352.4%33 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over45c61.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5447756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Under34c52.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.739240.2%37 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over51c48.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5721359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over48c44.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0547758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…8beebacked Over58c44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.521369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over56c43.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3417261%105 W · 67 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c6c…be63backed Under80c43.23$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.653100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under61c42.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8857157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Over56c42.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4787…59e4backed Over48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over49c38.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911059.1%65 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Over48c38.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.49862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over48c38.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.425864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Over48c35.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.252454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Under73c35.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.553562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Under65c35.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.36756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8277…7d31backed Under59c33.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.812839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44cb…feb2backed Over45c32.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.511650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc18…9b6ebacked Over32c31.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3016…f1fcbacked Under79c31.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb611…188fbacked Over57c31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.672259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Under71c30.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.037265.3%47 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Under70c30.31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.215660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over48c25.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.327867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over54c25.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.769953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3e…8b7cbacked Over47c25.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.921346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under46c24.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.998047.5%38 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over51c23.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.937745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over49c23.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.410654.7%58 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over66c22.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0224654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e95…f5bfbacked Over52c22.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.621050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd991…0133backed Under60c19.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc19d…aea3backed Under59c19.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.761546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.