South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d3bf3d52839fd1c3ac7eb11441f26fee5cfc2fd4a657819bb3e0be70fbc0b38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 49c | 171.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 156.15$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 107.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…84fdbacked Yes | 55c | 88.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1dd8backed Yes | 17c | 86.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 51c | 63.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 49c | 59.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d9…a1e4backed No | 66c | 47.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…f5bfbacked No | 66c | 40.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 34.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…b695backed No | 66c | 32.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked No | 46c | 29.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 49c | 26.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 49c | 26.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 52c | 23.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae6…5e07backed No | 51c | 19.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked No | 66c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 3.5Under won
- CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Academia Puerto Cabello (-1.5)CS Cienciano won
- Spread: CS Cienciano (-1.5)CS Cienciano won
- Spread: CS Cienciano (-2.5)Academia Puerto Cabello won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.