South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x249f93fe63c7d7ac3d022930c9876a5df1d65d946f5376942fbfd51e3ec53009
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed Under | 41c | 7,592$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 3,897$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.79 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Under | 51c | 2,958$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 2,017$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 1,085$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.18 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 812.73$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.83 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 61c | 727.25$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 56c | 716.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.36 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 19c | 494.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 50c | 360.84$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.42 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 50c | 360.84$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.42 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 178.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 48c | 157.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Over | 50c | 93.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 78.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Under | 23c | 77.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 26c | 55.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…04fbbacked Under | 34c | 44.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 80c | 44.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 74c | 40.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked Over | 56c | 35.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked Over | 53c | 32.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…553cbacked Over | 79c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Over | 61c | 26.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 71c | 25.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed Under | 48c | 22.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 50c | 21.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 56c | 20.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 50c | 19.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Over | 78c | 19.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…1be5backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 1.5this page
- CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 3.5Under won
- CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Academia Puerto Cabello (-1.5)CS Cienciano won
- Spread: CS Cienciano (-1.5)CS Cienciano won
- Spread: CS Cienciano (-2.5)Academia Puerto Cabello won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.