TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x08cb…6741

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$220.8
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.2
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$323
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$117.61
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+234.4%+$293.06
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+284.6%+$85.38
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$29.88
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+132.6%+$29.15
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22.98
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.62
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$57.33
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$305.24
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$37.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$66.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$63.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.