TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Mavericks, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,727,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,979,956

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,727,518 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 883 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Mavericks25c203,968$50,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,991.9443542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Pelicans73c197,298$144,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,571.865959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1755…5aacbacked Pelicans75c157,313$117,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,328.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Mavericks25c98,698$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans75c84,633$63,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,158.171,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Pelicans75c84,057$62,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,181.112060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Pelicans75c82,790$62,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,697.514663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Mavericks25c49,675$12,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,418.8472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans75c48,040$35,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,066.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks25c46,725$11,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,681.2387144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Mavericks26c38,537$10,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,019.6466248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Mavericks27c35,137$9,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,480.5134851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Pelicans75c25,676$19,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,519.0728554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Mavericks0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans74c24,961$18,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,471.734,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans68c24,705$16,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,020.024,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Mavericks25c23,228$5,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,807.0110930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pelicans75c22,731$17,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,703.232,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab5b…316cbacked Mavericks33c20,397$6,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,782.911080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+55.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Pelicans77c18,813$14,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,260.9120744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf179…72c7backed Pelicans74c16,334$12,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,190.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked Pelicans76c15,713$11,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,836.833348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Mavericks26c15,438$3,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,994.5535547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Mavericks1c14,901$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3264517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Mavericks26c14,484$3,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,700.8839349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Pelicans75c14,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Pelicans75c13,337$10,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,334.256352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Mavericks27c12,400$3,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3489330.1%28 W · 65 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans77c10,975$8,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,551.251,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc61…b126backed Pelicans74c10,125$7,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,632.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Pelicans75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50035251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Mavericks4c10,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018931.2%59 W · 130 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Pelicans65c9,851$6,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.0142348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pelicans75c9,247$6,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.71,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb514…0e4ebacked Pelicans75c9,005$6,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks18c8,449$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.061,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks24c7,142$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.229,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Mavericks25c7,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Mavericks18c6,704$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.9132540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans75c6,701$5,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.142,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks26c6,541$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.661,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Pelicans76c6,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44011335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Pelicans75c5,928$4,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4826841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc95d…f13bbacked Mavericks27c5,574$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.753961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks21c5,509$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.033,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Mavericks24c5,500$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34558740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Pelicans73c5,112$3,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.1941652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks27c5,100$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3771,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Mavericks33c5,050$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.2717436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Mavericks25c5,041$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.3427241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Mavericks0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Pelicans59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.9610743%46 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Mavericks0c4,877$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.338783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f50…3191backed Pelicans74c4,800$3,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.887865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Pelicans76c4,737$3,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.929250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Mavericks25c4,444$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11141832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Mavericks26c3,879$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9753539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Mavericks26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71e7…79f1backed Pelicans74c3,800$2,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Mavericks14c3,800$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.961,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed Pelicans75c3,754$2,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.478765.5%57 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Mavericks27c3,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8b…15babacked Mavericks30c3,691$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.865843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Mavericks25c3,500$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.998026.3%21 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…737ebacked Pelicans75c3,400$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8501471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pelicans69c3,341$2,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.6459646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Mavericks0c3,174$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.837211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pelicans74c3,158$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.0472450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b0…a9e6backed Mavericks33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007439.2%29 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Mavericks27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pelicans75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Mavericks6c3,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.417412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Pelicans74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9320847.6%99 W · 109 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks1c2,950$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.258820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Mavericks26c2,885$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75062652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks22c2,860$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.162,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Mavericks6c2,773$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.821,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Mavericks24c2,711$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.6966250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Pelicans75c2,703$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.676258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Pelicans75c2,658$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.439952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Mavericks34c2,647$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90024323.9%58 W · 185 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks25c2,600$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.083,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans74c2,597$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.474,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Mavericks27c2,596$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.891833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed Pelicans69c2,470$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.927864.1%50 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Mavericks24c2,397$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.2161835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Pelicans75c2,348$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58714061.4%86 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Mavericks24c2,300$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55238434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans75c2,252$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.683,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Mavericks40c2,190$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.1648845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a80…8c5ebacked Mavericks26c2,064$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5407439.2%29 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Mavericks25c2,002$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.51,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8201,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Mavericks25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Mavericks28c2,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57035942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Mavericks25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50062347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Pelicans74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Mavericks10c1,995$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5215034%51 W · 99 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Mavericks26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033735.3%119 W · 218 L+1.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd839…8fc8backed Mavericks27c1,866$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.