TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,605 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under46c14,120$6,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,489.7954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over56c10,214$5,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,494.2448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c7,034$3,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,272.839,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c3,953$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.131,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under44c3,360$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.321549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8b…417abacked Over52c2,939$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…2bf9backed Over52c2,938$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479a…40c8backed Under48c2,915$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e25…5e24backed Under48c2,908$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a2…88c5backed Under48c2,849$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf467…879fbacked Over52c2,825$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f1…8b15backed Over52c2,663$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb8…2735backed Under48c2,647$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad00…91bfbacked Under48c2,639$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1161…5378backed Under48c2,628$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d21…7f48backed Over52c2,624$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a4c…0966backed Over52c2,597$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Under45c2,395$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.7511243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under49c1,953$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.352,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under44c1,820$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.094,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c1,239$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.944,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c1,168$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over55c1,115$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.7526553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under48c934.34$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.882,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under46c822.41$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.1358450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over53c730.2$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.191,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over47c718.72$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.883,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over52c643.46$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.784,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under51c567.22$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.433,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over50c562.74$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.012,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Over55c545$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.2523553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c509.93$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.815,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over53c462.12$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.21,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20061740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over54c383.93$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.613,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Under45c256$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.224428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over55c207.7$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under49c199.21$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5187744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under45c180.95$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over57c175.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9521748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under16c163.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3920837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over52c161.34$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9522154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d2a…7defbacked Under46c152.71$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.684843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over50c145.1$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.558952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c144.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.565,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c134.24$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.238,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7d2…c34dbacked Under45c132$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over57c128.54$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5867248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over57c122.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6839943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c102.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.972,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under52c102.58$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9745452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over54c100.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8749249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c93.84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.12,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under44c92.39$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6513554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under46c87.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1714047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under44c76.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0629344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Over56c68.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9412739.4%50 W · 77 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd8e…2bf4backed Under44c67.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+104.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under45c65.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4864844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over56c65.77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1320847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Over50c65.4$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.72934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42a9…ddafbacked Over55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over53c50.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5951438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514253.5%76 W · 66 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f7…3ea6backed Under50c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013447%63 W · 71 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Under45c42.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.266950.7%35 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under51c42.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5218242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under46c41.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.511,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c41.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.242,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under50c39.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7283158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under47c38.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2591746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e3…c6d4backed Over55c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x143f…da7dbacked Over55c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…4145backed Over49c30.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.583240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Over49c27.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.945733.3%19 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3891…f705backed Under44c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Under44c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.889545.3%43 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f0…7d99backed Over57c26.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3512349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under47c26.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.461,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under46c25.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.931,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c03…1c9fbacked Under44c24.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.115544.5%69 W · 86 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under44c24.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.932,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4921…5238backed Over49c24.68$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.591533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2240750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over57c21.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.519045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over54c20.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4657650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.