NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5c0a4c9529da75ce6e26012e19cce4f592295c4a2c208e637a01cb41c261cb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,605 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 14,120$6,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,489.79 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 56c | 10,214$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494.24 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 7,034$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 3,953$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.13 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 44c | 3,360$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.3 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8b…417abacked Over | 52c | 2,939$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…2bf9backed Over | 52c | 2,938$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479a…40c8backed Under | 48c | 2,915$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e25…5e24backed Under | 48c | 2,908$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…88c5backed Under | 48c | 2,849$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf467…879fbacked Over | 52c | 2,825$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…8b15backed Over | 52c | 2,663$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb8…2735backed Under | 48c | 2,647$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad00…91bfbacked Under | 48c | 2,639$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…5378backed Under | 48c | 2,628$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…7f48backed Over | 52c | 2,624$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…0966backed Over | 52c | 2,597$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Under | 45c | 2,395$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.75 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 1,953$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.35 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 1,820$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.09 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 1,239$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.94 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 1,168$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 55c | 1,115$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.75 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 934.34$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.88 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 46c | 822.41$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.13 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 53c | 730.2$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.19 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 47c | 718.72$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.88 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 52c | 643.46$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.78 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 567.22$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.43 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 562.74$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.01 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Over | 55c | 545$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.25 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 509.93$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.81 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 53c | 462.12$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.2 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 383.93$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.61 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 45c | 256$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 55c | 207.7$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 49c | 199.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 45c | 180.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 57c | 175.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 16c | 163.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 52c | 161.34$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…7defbacked Under | 46c | 152.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 50c | 145.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 144.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 134.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…c34dbacked Under | 45c | 132$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 57c | 128.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 57c | 122.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 102.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 52c | 102.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 54c | 100.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 93.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 44c | 92.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 46c | 87.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 44c | 76.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Over | 56c | 68.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…2bf4backed Under | 44c | 67.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 45c | 65.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 56c | 65.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Over | 50c | 65.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…ddafbacked Over | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 53c | 50.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…3ea6backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Under | 45c | 42.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 51c | 42.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 46c | 41.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 41.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 50c | 39.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 47c | 38.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…c6d4backed Over | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143f…da7dbacked Over | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Over | 49c | 30.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Over | 49c | 27.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3891…f705backed Under | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Under | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f0…7d99backed Over | 57c | 26.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 47c | 26.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 25.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c03…1c9fbacked Under | 44c | 24.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 44c | 24.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…5238backed Over | 49c | 24.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 57c | 21.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 54c | 20.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5this page
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Herbert Jones: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Under won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.