TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,627 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under50c28,248$14,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,123.854539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c24,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Over51c5,820$2,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968.046147.5%29 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under55c5,234$2,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,335.712,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over63c4,475$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,820.633,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…a6b5backed Under29c3,500$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.772544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c3,412$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.651,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over55c2,942$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.4826337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over44c2,524$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.743,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4b…556bbacked Over2c2,400$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ee…a073backed Under64c2,352$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.913661.1%22 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,260$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Over1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.113852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c1,092$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.452,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c1,058$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.484,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Over1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Over1c999.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%0 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c816.13$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.482,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Under43c750$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.95339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c679.97$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.853,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under54c651.11$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.793,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under34c648.03$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.031,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under54c630.41$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.372,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c577.89$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.232,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over47c551.74$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8776653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under73c528.7$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.961,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c526.32$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c518.91$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.644,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over8c500$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4130224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Over47c400$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18723649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c397.28$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under49c385.41$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.331,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005044%22 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under56c341.6$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.31,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over47c316.83$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8642153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62ca…1277backed Over14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick11cpaid+149.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf916…6266backed Under50c256.25$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.131656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under28c249$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.5837848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed Over49c240$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.85451.9%28 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd47a…4e85backed Over46c224.33$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.042231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Over41c215.5$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.362934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10278652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over50c199.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.011,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over45c195.66$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3383158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over51c185.47$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1965542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa423…d3dfbacked Over11c172$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.043129%9 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Over47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.24645.7%21 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under49c156.28$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5187744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under51c136.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1239943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under52c112.91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2145452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under30c110$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4911354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c108.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.252,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7267921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c98.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.042,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26c3…e26dbacked Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over51c92.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3767248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Over47c87.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1510945%49 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over49c83.88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.112745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c6…dcacbacked Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405942.4%25 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over27c79.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.845544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeee0…bf55backed Over50c66.37$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.191145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Over18c66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5823441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ed3…983fbacked Over50c65.87$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.941952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9140…17e0backed Over50c63.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.961643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under22c63.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5310637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0463…f69ebacked Over50c60.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.051662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf26b…f3b8backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010426.9%28 W · 76 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under50c59.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.952552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under22c57.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0628537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over46c51.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4719650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1826639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over51c49.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.541,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Under51c47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0311847.5%56 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over47c46.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.721,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2a…7defbacked Under40c41.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.684843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf12…cbd9backed Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.63842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae82…ebf1backed Over50c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51520%3 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-38.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Over51c33.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0714047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9213950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under50c28.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over45c27.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4510028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…b6d0backed Under51c26.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.783253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under57c24.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3818242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Over44c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.566026.7%16 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over51c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218853.7%101 W · 87 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over50c21.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over51c19.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1620847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over64c18.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9218052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over77c17.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7727463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.