NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8697afbf07e2132bdb3914c0675daf854e6d89da52f2753100931d217495fcf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,627 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 28,248$14,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,123.8 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 24,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Over | 51c | 5,820$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.04 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 55c | 5,234$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.71 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 63c | 4,475$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.63 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…a6b5backed Under | 29c | 3,500$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.77 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 3,412$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.65 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 55c | 2,942$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.48 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 44c | 2,524$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.74 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Over | 2c | 2,400$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…a073backed Under | 64c | 2,352$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.91 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,260$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Over | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 1,092$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.45 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 1,058$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Over | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Over | 1c | 999.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 816.13$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.48 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Under | 43c | 750$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.9 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 679.97$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.85 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 54c | 651.11$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.79 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 34c | 648.03$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.03 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 54c | 630.41$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.37 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 577.89$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.23 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 47c | 551.74$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.87 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 73c | 528.7$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 526.32$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 518.91$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.64 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 8c | 500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Over | 47c | 400$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 397.28$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 49c | 385.41$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.33 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 56c | 341.6$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 47c | 316.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1277backed Over | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 11cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…6266backed Under | 50c | 256.25$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 28c | 249$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.58 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Over | 49c | 240$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed Over | 46c | 224.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Over | 41c | 215.5$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 199.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 45c | 195.66$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 51c | 185.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Over | 11c | 172$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Over | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 49c | 156.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 51c | 136.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 52c | 112.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 30c | 110$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 108.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c3…e26dbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 51c | 92.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Over | 47c | 87.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 49c | 83.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 27c | 79.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…bf55backed Over | 50c | 66.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Over | 18c | 66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…983fbacked Over | 50c | 65.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…17e0backed Over | 50c | 63.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under | 22c | 63.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…f69ebacked Over | 50c | 60.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 50c | 59.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 22c | 57.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 46c | 51.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 51c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Under | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 47c | 46.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…7defbacked Under | 40c | 41.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf12…cbd9backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…ebf1backed Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Over | 51c | 33.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 50c | 28.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 45c | 27.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…b6d0backed Under | 51c | 26.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 57c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 51c | 19.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 64c | 18.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 77c | 17.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5this page
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Herbert Jones: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Under won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.