TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,541 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Mavericks45c82,526$37,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,136.7672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Pelicans55c80,000$44,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,00023147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks45c65,420$29,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,416.634,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Pelicans55c42,909$23,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,309.097552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Mavericks45c29,120$13,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,10428643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans55c23,244$12,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,459.731,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans55c18,403$10,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,251.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Pelicans53c8,487$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,987.3742348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans55c7,387$4,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,351.169,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Mavericks45c7,316$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,292.231644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Mavericks45c4,440$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.131,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans56c2,372$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.642,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Mavericks46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9208445.2%38 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks53c1,799$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.54,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Pelicans55c1,780$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans55c1,733$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.856,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans55c1,638$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.12,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks44c989.53$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.884,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks45c901.58$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.493,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Pelicans55c604.82$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.0658450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Pelicans57c578.17$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6189853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks45c511.53$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.448,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Pelicans55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22511241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Pelicans54c370.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2145151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks36c364.72$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.611,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed Mavericks50c320.43$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.229150.5%46 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Mavericks45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13523446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Mavericks41c259.24$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.292,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mavericks44c245.18$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.172,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Mavericks45c241.53$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.591,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Pelicans55c227.27$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2718456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks43c205.46$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.352,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Mavericks47c188.9$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.783551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2e…0d9ebacked Pelicans55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823040%12 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Pelicans56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.575754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Pelicans57c163.66$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.639553.7%51 W · 44 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Pelicans55c155.75$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0961747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Pelicans55c152.76$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7422154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pelicans60c151$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.91,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks45c147.95$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.332,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Pelicans56c136.09$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8857650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Mavericks45c134.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7542153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Mavericks41c134.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Pelicans58c120.44$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Mavericks44c115$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.624428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Mavericks46c111.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3362541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks44c110.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.651,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…6807backed Mavericks46c108$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.684452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Mavericks46c105.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7620847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Pelicans56c105.88$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5939943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Pelicans55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4518143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Pelicans55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.916556.9%37 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans62c88.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.83,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62a…8abebacked Mavericks45c77.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.931952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Pelicans55c69.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2914047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Mavericks43c65.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6421349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Mavericks44c65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.628537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa845…c591backed Mavericks53c64.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.23922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-55.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Pelicans57c54.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8227251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Mavericks45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.554951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc9…c447backed Pelicans55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5583…1fbbbacked Pelicans50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Mavericks44c49.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2253339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Mavericks44c47.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.960945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f36…81b7backed Pelicans55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Pelicans56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6411348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Mavericks49c44.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5229645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae9c…63b7backed Mavericks45c43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.35728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x534a…023abacked Mavericks45c42.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.855044%22 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Pelicans55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1846255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Pelicans60c39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.69845.9%45 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b4e…e44abacked Mavericks42c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.111225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks46c32.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.093,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Mavericks45c32.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5662744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Mavericks45c30.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6645452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked Pelicans56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.23946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Pelicans63c29.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9114059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked Mavericks45c29.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1712949.6%64 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Mavericks45c27.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mavericks44c27.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.041,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ea…7129backed Pelicans56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.79887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick48cpaid+67.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Pelicans57c25.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8951438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf534…b7d4backed Pelicans56c24.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Mavericks46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.049349.5%46 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Pelicans55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.