NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6045760484b31cce9a5bc72bce32731689811027bfcb047ce421c9168fd06310
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Pelicans, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,541 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Mavericks | 45c | 82,526$37,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,136.76 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Pelicans | 55c | 80,000$44,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,000 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 45c | 65,420$29,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,416.63 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Pelicans | 55c | 42,909$23,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,309.09 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Mavericks | 45c | 29,120$13,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,104 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans | 55c | 23,244$12,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,459.73 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans | 55c | 18,403$10,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,251.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Pelicans | 53c | 8,487$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,987.37 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 55c | 7,387$4,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Mavericks | 45c | 7,316$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.2 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Mavericks | 45c | 4,440$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.13 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans | 56c | 2,372$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.64 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Mavericks | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 53c | 1,799$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pelicans | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 55c | 1,733$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.85 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 55c | 1,638$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.1 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 44c | 989.53$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 45c | 901.58$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.49 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Pelicans | 55c | 604.82$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.06 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Pelicans | 57c | 578.17$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.61 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 45c | 511.53$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Pelicans | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Pelicans | 54c | 370.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.21 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks | 36c | 364.72$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Mavericks | 50c | 320.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.22 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Mavericks | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mavericks | 41c | 259.24$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mavericks | 44c | 245.18$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Mavericks | 45c | 241.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Pelicans | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks | 43c | 205.46$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Mavericks | 47c | 188.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2e…0d9ebacked Pelicans | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Pelicans | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Pelicans | 57c | 163.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Pelicans | 55c | 155.75$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Pelicans | 55c | 152.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pelicans | 60c | 151$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks | 45c | 147.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Pelicans | 56c | 136.09$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Mavericks | 45c | 134.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Mavericks | 41c | 134.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Pelicans | 58c | 120.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Mavericks | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Mavericks | 46c | 111.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks | 44c | 110.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…6807backed Mavericks | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Mavericks | 46c | 105.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Pelicans | 56c | 105.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Pelicans | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Pelicans | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans | 62c | 88.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62a…8abebacked Mavericks | 45c | 77.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Pelicans | 55c | 69.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Mavericks | 43c | 65.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Mavericks | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…c591backed Mavericks | 53c | 64.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Pelicans | 57c | 54.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Mavericks | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…c447backed Pelicans | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked Pelicans | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Mavericks | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Mavericks | 44c | 47.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…81b7backed Pelicans | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Pelicans | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Mavericks | 49c | 44.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae9c…63b7backed Mavericks | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…023abacked Mavericks | 45c | 42.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Pelicans | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Pelicans | 60c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4e…e44abacked Mavericks | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 46c | 32.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Mavericks | 45c | 32.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Mavericks | 45c | 30.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Pelicans | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Pelicans | 63c | 29.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…96eabacked Mavericks | 45c | 29.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…095fbacked Mavericks | 45c | 27.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mavericks | 44c | 27.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…7129backed Pelicans | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Pelicans | 57c | 25.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…b7d4backed Pelicans | 56c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Mavericks | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Pelicans | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)this page
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Herbert Jones: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Under won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.