NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80bb74e6d0fda5c09ce56357ad3115d68cf8dc43fc3322324742227f34aa7dbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Pelicans, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,054,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,054,913 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Pelicans | 52c | 700,000$364,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336,000.01 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Mavericks | 48c | 550,603$264,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264,146.77 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pelicans | 51c | 82,353$42,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,352.94 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Mavericks | 48c | 75,863$36,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,414.24 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 62,332$29,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,970.94 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 51c | 56,221$28,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,529.6 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Mavericks | 49c | 52,633$25,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,711.9 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Mavericks | 48c | 40,990$19,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,675.09 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Mavericks | 49c | 23,681$11,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,603.69 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.91 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Mavericks | 48c | 15,600$7,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,488 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Mavericks | 49c | 15,296$7,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,495.04 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Mavericks | 49c | 13,854$6,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,788.46 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans | 51c | 12,912$6,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,362.61 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Mavericks | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 8,006$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 51c | 6,790$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,301.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans | 51c | 5,872$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.87 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Pelicans | 52c | 4,876$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.68 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 51c | 4,193$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.18 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 4,187$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.73 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Pelicans | 52c | 4,155$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.25 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Mavericks | 48c | 4,100$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.87 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Pelicans | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pelicans | 55c | 3,836$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.61 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pelicans | 51c | 3,630$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.92 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Mavericks | 49c | 3,169$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.6 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Mavericks | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans | 52c | 3,089$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.72 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pelicans | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.04 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Mavericks | 49c | 2,980$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Mavericks | 48c | 2,974$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.4 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 2,679$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pelicans | 53c | 2,673$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.82 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 42c | 2,525$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Mavericks | 29c | 2,400$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Mavericks | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.05 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Mavericks | 49c | 2,203$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.62 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Mavericks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Mavericks | 48c | 2,016$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.53 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Pelicans | 57c | 2,013$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.17 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mavericks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4d…ae93backed Pelicans | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Mavericks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Mavericks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Mavericks | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.96 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,988$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.4 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,950$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 1,903$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.89 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.8 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,770$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans | 71c | 1,744$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.66 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,659$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.11 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,635$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.62 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 22c | 1,584$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.55 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,558$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.01 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,461$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.22 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,438$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.11 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,404$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.92 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,393$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.17 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,338$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.46 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Pelicans | 60c | 1,338$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.67 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,209$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.88 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Pelicans | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,127$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.05 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,052$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.73 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Mavericks | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pelicans | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…316abacked Pelicans | 52c | 885.46$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.02 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Mavericks | 48c | 885.42$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Mavericks | 49c | 877.55$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Pelicans | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 728.54$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.54 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 721.25$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.25 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Pelicans | 52c | 701.52$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.52 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Pelicans | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.25 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Pelicans | 52c | 684.04$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.34 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9860backed Pelicans | 53c | 681.15$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.22 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…f9e3backed Pelicans | 53c | 666.26$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.14 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Mavericks | 17c | 656.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Mavericks | 23c | 615.22$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Pelicans | 53c | 606.63$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.14 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Mavericks | 48c | 577.16$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.04 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Pelicans | 53c | 566$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Pelicans | 52c | 528.85$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.85 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Mavericks | 50c | 513.69$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.12 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks | 45c | 513.11$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Pelicans | 52c | 483.78$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.78 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Mavericks | 50c | 476.63$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.64 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Pelicans | 52c | 469.04$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.14 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pelicans | 69c | 426.57$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.44 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)this page
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Herbert Jones: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Under won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.