TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,693 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under48c39,725$19,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,032.6754539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Under49c23,562$11,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,545.3730845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c14,959$7,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,238.339,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c13,551$6,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,607.491,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over53c11,000$5,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,169.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c9,145$4,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,375.784,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c5,948$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,948.221,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over52c3,434$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.332,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Under48c3,273$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5714647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over53c3,260$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.214245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.9922752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9939…d5f5backed Over49c2,985$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x569a…3fd2backed Over49c2,969$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3138…c83abacked Under51c2,937$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf84f…c0cbbacked Over49c2,928$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c2,899$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.444,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df4…69e2backed Over49c2,894$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x879b…1d25backed Under51c2,859$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37dc…4ea7backed Under51c2,849$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29de…e34cbacked Under51c2,843$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe69…3f4bbacked Under51c2,815$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb011…68efbacked Over49c2,805$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc7…241cbacked Under51c2,796$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eaa…c33ebacked Over49c2,785$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a7…5f53backed Under51c2,773$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c16…cdbdbacked Under51c2,693$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a6…8739backed Under51c2,681$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb84a…5918backed Under51c2,648$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0244…fce4backed Over49c2,619$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3b…b637backed Over49c2,606$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59dd…aa68backed Over49c2,597$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f28…63e0backed Over49c2,557$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa634…b1babacked Under51c2,552$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68cf…ca7bbacked Over49c2,549$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd08d…9001backed Over49c2,538$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa618…5cdbbacked Under51c2,386$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under51c1,749$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.0926745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c1,634$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.514,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c1,134$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c1,053$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.498,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Over53c799.99$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37610251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c727.2$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.523,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Under51c686.27$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35016837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under49c650$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.510940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29480653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under14c503.23$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.072,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over49c491.43$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.6328537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under53c391.99$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.763,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c305.32$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.52,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under47c297.87$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over53c291$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.771,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over52c257$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.362,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under44c252.97$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5253149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over50c235.04$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5222154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over52c230.15$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over54c228.1$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.13647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c205.05$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.933,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdc…60a4backed Under48c202$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.962564%16 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7150…476bbacked Under48c198$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.043540%14 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x890a…1da7backed Over53c198$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.063053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c195.03$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.462,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over52c183.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.321,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c174.53$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.082,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c159.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7942853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under47c145.66$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9942153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over51c134.35$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8339943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over52c128.61$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9595047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c121.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.574,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under49c118.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2162541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Over53c107$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2910955%60 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4759650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504751.1%24 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c97.57$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.861,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over53c94.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.720847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b0…0eafbacked Over51c90.14$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1c5…b1febacked Under50c90.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under47c83.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1914047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over47c72.37$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under49c71.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3591746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Over53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.99958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over53c68.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4257650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over52c66.49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7858450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…4854backed Over54c66.28$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.644341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Over51c66.08$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3813554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over54c65.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8251438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under47c62.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4749249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3b…2293backed Over54c62.11$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.571060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under24c50.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1711826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2441052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2537037.3%138 W · 232 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Under48c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5211847.5%56 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under48c41.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2637848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.