NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56ac688f59823521bf05622f3d13becc5a1c85a329fa463728101e9416aa15d4

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pelicansof Pelicans, Mavericks
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $136,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,687 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb12d…f73cbacked Mavericks	54c	37,588$20,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,121.88	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans	47c	28,132$13,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,872.03	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Mavericks	54c	15,000$8,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,100	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Mavericks	52c	11,000$5,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,719.94	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Mavericks	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,300	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks	54c	9,608$5,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,184.76	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks	54c	9,577$5,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,170.29	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans	46c	7,772$3,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,196.65	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks	52c	6,000$3,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,119.99	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans	48c	5,383$2,561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,822.15	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Pelicans	48c	5,208$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,708.33	105	53.3%56 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans	47c	5,115$2,406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,709.37	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans	46c	3,671$1,697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,974	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Pelicans	47c	3,615$1,699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,915.95	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks	51c	3,364$1,701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700.81	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df5…b750backed Pelicans	48c	2,842$1,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,477.84	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b0…a9e6backed Pelicans	50c	2,772$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,372.35	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans	46c	2,304$1,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,243.19	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pelicans	48c	2,128$1,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,116.96	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Pelicans	48c	2,071$994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,076.83	324	50.6%164 W · 160 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Pelicans	47c	2,039$958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080.67	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans	47c	1,915$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,014.95	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Mavericks	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.11	266	37.2%99 W · 167 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dca…f0f3backed Mavericks	52c	1,745$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.4	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Mavericks	53c	1,208$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Mavericks	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	261	49.4%129 W · 132 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Mavericks	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	291	49.5%144 W · 147 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pelicans	48c	716.75$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.16	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans	46c	713.01$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.86	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Mavericks	51c	700$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87bf…6eabbacked Mavericks	52c	651$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.52	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf57a…73ecbacked Mavericks	52c	569.82$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.31	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Pelicans	49c	531.01$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.13	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f1…e373backed Pelicans	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks	54c	489.98$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.59	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0a…7ca8backed Mavericks	52c	457.69$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.19per pick	50cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeae8…c494backed Mavericks	52c	446$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.92	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+50%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pelicans	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Mavericks	52c	344.42$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.1	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked Mavericks	54c	330$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.2	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-5.0wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks	53c	315.82$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.06	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Mavericks	54c	300$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	428	45.1%193 W · 235 L	-15.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f2…0a1dbacked Mavericks	53c	300$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f03…ed48backed Pelicans	48c	276.28$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.67	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Mavericks	51c	274.05$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	463	46.4%215 W · 248 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb178…1fa0backed Mavericks	53c	237.74$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Mavericks	53c	226.42$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	224	47.8%107 W · 117 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Mavericks	14c	221.49$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.03	296	45.6%135 W · 161 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Pelicans	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans	46c	209.98$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.99	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aab…15c5backed Mavericks	52c	209$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.68	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Mavericks	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf392…bb0dbacked Pelicans	48c	199.43$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.7	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…1805backed Pelicans	48c	186.32$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.89	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeeb0…c9f8backed Pelicans	48c	184.07$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.72	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb1…8ec8backed Pelicans	48c	181.41$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.33	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Pelicans	50c	164.35$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.18	376	65.4%246 W · 130 L	+62.0wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Pelicans	69c	163.55$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.16	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Pelicans	48c	163$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.76	239	46.4%111 W · 128 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Mavericks	51c	160$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.6	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Mavericks	55c	157.71$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.89	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks	52c	154$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.75	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pelicans	46c	152$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.08	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks	53c	147.63$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.24	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Pelicans	48c	137.03$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.22	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans	46c	127.28$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.73	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks	53c	124.44$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.51	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Mavericks	32c	120$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	354	47.7%169 W · 185 L	-10.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Mavericks	54c	110$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Mavericks	52c	105$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.6	109	55%60 W · 49 L	+6.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Pelicans	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pelicans	48c	104.16$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.16	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Mavericks	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	596	50.3%300 W · 296 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pelicans	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Mavericks	53c	98.11$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb4…692abacked Mavericks	27c	92.6$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-5.2wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Pelicans	48c	86.96$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.22	140	47.1%66 W · 74 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pelicans	47c	84$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.52	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Mavericks	59c	82.61$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.93	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Mavericks	53c	73.38$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.89	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Pelicans	48c	72.92$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.92	377	55.7%210 W · 167 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…4854backed Mavericks	53c	70.7$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.62	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Pelicans	47c	64.14$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.99	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Pelicans	47c	60.88$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.51	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Mavericks	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	332	49.7%165 W · 167 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74fe…8243backed Mavericks	52c	53.4$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd45…a81dbacked Mavericks	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Pelicans	57c	48.56$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.95	456	53.5%244 W · 212 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Mavericks	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Mavericks	52c	38.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.24	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ea…7129backed Pelicans	48c	31.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+3.2wins	+0.40per pick	48cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks	53c	30.13$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.97	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7c…db55backed Pelicans	48c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Pelicans	47c	27.31$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.47	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c76…7409backed Mavericks	49c	26.53$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Mavericks	42c	25.69$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Pelicans	46c	25.63$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.84	281	47.7%134 W · 147 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Pelicans	48c	25.63$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9572…ea8ebacked Pelicans	47c	25.57$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.55	79	60.8%48 W · 31 L	+8.2wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Mavericks	53c	25.56$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.55	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)this page
Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5No won
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 18.5No won
Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Herbert Jones: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Mavericks vs. PelicansPelicans won
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Under won
Max Christie: Points O/U 12.5No won
Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)Pelicans won
Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 23.5No won
Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event