TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfeb1…8ec8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst WNBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.41
Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 114.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.12
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$20.15
Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$94.33
1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.72
1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.95
Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 106.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$51
1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$63.46
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$39.62
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80.02
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$36.38
Kings vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$51.28
1H Spread: Thunder (-0.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$20.02
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$146.76
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$69.44
Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$204.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)backed Club Bolívar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.64
Botafogo FR vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$33.57
Clube do Remo vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)backed Macarthur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.56
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$187.99
Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)backed Wellington Phoenix FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$37.23
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.11
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$79.5
KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Traktorbacked Traktor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.05
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.59
Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-2.5)backed Ipswich Town FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.91
Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.99
Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UD Almería vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group Bbacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$31.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$90.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$87.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.