Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bd0114e1a09896536259bd259af187eb98f7b5ad7f95b30ccefb0c0821f7d6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,412 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 4,205$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.1 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 73c | 2,688$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.76 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Under | 72c | 903.45$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.97 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 63c | 526.8$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.92 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 34c | 499.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed Over | 36c | 482.78$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 64c | 319.98$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.19 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 66c | 303.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…a3b9backed Under | 64c | 282.27$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 66c | 279.11$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Under | 63c | 250.5$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.68 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 34c | 203.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 66c | 189.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 166.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 37c | 139$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…99d0backed Under | 64c | 131.93$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 9c | 128$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…e715backed Under | 64c | 127.12$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3227…5df7backed Under | 64c | 119.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…0433backed Under | 64c | 104.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 63c | 102.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…c596backed Under | 65c | 101$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Over | 36c | 97.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…f20bbacked Over | 36c | 92.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…8ec8backed Over | 36c | 92.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 36c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Over | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 35c | 62.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 36c | 49.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479a…406fbacked Under | 64c | 25.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…b151backed Under | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Under | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.