Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee9948236fefc676dba009c84441bbef2da28c8e7611d1ce84d10ecdb23d0359
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Ham United FCof Fulham FC, West Ham United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,317 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked West Ham United FC | 77c | 9,110$7,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.31 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Fulham FC | 23c | 7,999$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.22 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed West Ham United FC | 78c | 4,622$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.18 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fulham FC | 23c | 1,869$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.87 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Fulham FC | 21c | 1,249$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.29 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Fulham FC | 23c | 977.85$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.91 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Fulham FC | 22c | 605.44$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Fulham FC | 23c | 488$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…d360backed Fulham FC | 25c | 463.78$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…e885backed Fulham FC | 25c | 268$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x328b…6885backed West Ham United FC | 76c | 173.34$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93e…e383backed West Ham United FC | 76c | 146.78$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…c94bbacked West Ham United FC | 76c | 143.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed West Ham United FC | 78c | 107$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed West Ham United FC | 79c | 80.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fulham FC | 17c | 75.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Fulham FC | 22c | 69.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Fulham FC | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed Fulham FC | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…77e1backed West Ham United FC | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Fulham FC | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed West Ham United FC | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed West Ham United FC | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed West Ham United FC | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)this page
- Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.