TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,448 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over60c41,923$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Under40c25,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0003740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c8,039$4,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,160.726,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over57c5,480$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1058851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under41c5,312$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,115.392,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.9750644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d5…157dbacked Under43c3,662$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.785100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under41c3,048$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.3285048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under41c2,806$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.3451750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under41c2,518$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.422,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c2,490$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.722,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under43c2,200$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2542347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over54c2,156$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.329256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad5c…664abacked Over59c1,864$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8552763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under43c1,439$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.6313054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under45c1,334$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.74445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over52c1,097$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.3315030.7%46 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Under41c999.9$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.944751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c06…8478backed Under43c967.44$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under44c963.76$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.7146943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under40c899.96$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.9752454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over13c888$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.443735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over51c823$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.7314166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3486058.3%35 W · 25 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Over59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c474.21$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.281,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over59c471.51$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28020054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under43c443.97$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.0715233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under41c413$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.6772249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Over59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2366829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under45c390.04$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.523171%22 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+53.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x53d3…ba87backed Over7c383.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.321822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under43c379.21$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.153745.9%17 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.149846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007050%35 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under41c341.46$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.462860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over55c318.18$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1759053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f40…1efbbacked Under44c305.66$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16817337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd5…ef34backed Over57c297.36$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e54…fffdbacked Over58c284.63$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c5…7c61backed Over57c263.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ea…3095backed Under44c255.57$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under42c249.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.991,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under42c249.97$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.981,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…5695backed Under43c248.41$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.59450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d88…480cbacked Over58c248.32$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over5c245.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf4…4cf8backed Under43c244.15$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over59c240$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.64942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.36per pick45cpaid-79.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under42c229.61$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1796443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…163abacked Under43c222.57$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12019145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d94…bceebacked Under43c193.49$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.29475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad5…8a5ebacked Over58c189.32$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a0…705bbacked Over58c186.35$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under44c180$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.851847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x142e…f6e4backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under42c158.73$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.968144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over57c155.64$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5182763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under47c151.97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.15349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3075…b6a6backed Under41c142$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+221%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over57c140$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.87439.2%29 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over57c133.82$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2810550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over25c126.53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9774156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.84951%25 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over59c110$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8228242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under58c104.84$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7113152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5627846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5820819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4659645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5710850%54 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under43c99.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5711048.2%53 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over57c92.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6861143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under42c86.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4312236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under52c83$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9120956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over56c80.32$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.213450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over24c77.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6511839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0cf…6639backed Over60c77$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.22045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Under41c77$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.431947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Under42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.436448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Over58c71.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.437853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.431566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under43c70.38$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8227948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over15c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over55c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.820763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Over58c67.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.433234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.5wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over25c67.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0513842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.