Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x593d4773e6d4cf8eebb6bbecfcd5ebab6c156ff346768874587f99c347435698
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,917 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,992$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 56c | 1,346$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.44 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 27c | 1,250$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.74 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 41c | 1,162$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 35c | 720.16$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…a734backed Over | 43c | 668.84$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…a3b9backed Over | 44c | 646.02$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…fff3backed Over | 39c | 471$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 45c | 444.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…21f1backed Under | 57c | 426.76$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…99d0backed Under | 57c | 419.39$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d2…43ecbacked Over | 39c | 379$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dec…058cbacked Under | 56c | 333.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…ba5fbacked Under | 56c | 310.89$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 31c | 269.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.69 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 59c | 250.19$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…9b2bbacked Under | 57c | 249.45$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e0…0b6ebacked Under | 61c | 199$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…6a18backed Under | 61c | 196$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 8c | 192.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 56c | 174$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 70c | 168.15$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…1ebcbacked Under | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 33c | 159.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…e475backed Under | 61c | 155$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…8ec8backed Over | 43c | 150.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 56c | 140.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed Over | 43c | 140.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…d8b5backed Under | 61c | 137$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 44c | 136.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…6f8cbacked Over | 43c | 136.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f9e0backed Under | 64c | 86.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 59c | 46.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 57c | 21.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 59c | 19.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5this page
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-1.5)Sparta Rotterdam won
- Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-2.5)PEC Zwolle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.