Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a778213519dcb25951c6258670ad89d6d7d739ed71fd461889c4a7ce9a11cc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,030 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 4,189$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.3 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 5c | 1,537$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.05 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 37c | 1,383$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.31 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 5c | 1,340$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.23 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 37c | 922.43$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.72 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Yes | 65c | 773.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 235.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 67c | 193.6$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 35c | 187.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 65c | 153.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 61c | 127.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Yes | 64c | 124.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 65c | 123.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 35c | 104.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed No | 37c | 88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 41c | 81.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 60.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 63c | 46.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 35c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 39.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 67c | 35.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 37c | 34.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 65c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 62c | 24.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 63c | 23.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-1.5)Sparta Rotterdam won
- Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-2.5)PEC Zwolle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.