Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb39cd6073c87457d2afa3b26b1eb5bdc95de2d0651741234b0525b0ed44ad282
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,935 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 44c | 28,322$12,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,457.57 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 11,199$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 57c | 8,782$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.14 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 35c | 2,850$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.49 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 34c | 1,741$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.99 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 1,371$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.25 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 35c | 999.92$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.95 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 56c | 534.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.14 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 59c | 505.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.37 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 30c | 330$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 80c | 276.25$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 56c | 192.86$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 185.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 15c | 154.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 52c | 132.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 53c | 122.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 56c | 107.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 20c | 101.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…5587backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Over | 39c | 97.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 96.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 44c | 90.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 41c | 84.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 56c | 74.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 57c | 70.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 30c | 66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 56c | 65.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 34c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 65c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 53c | 49.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0718…fccebacked Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 35c | 41.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 57c | 39.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…6562backed Over | 57c | 35.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 49c | 34.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 64c | 26.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Over | 75c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 57c | 18.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5this page
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-1.5)Sparta Rotterdam won
- Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-2.5)PEC Zwolle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.