TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 243.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,982 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c11,129$5,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,361.762,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Under54c7,015$3,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,259.758361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Under50c6,302$3,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,158.815350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c5,788$2,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,841.614,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c5,339$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.149,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67d6…b04bbacked Under53c4,340$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.623268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9913543.7%59 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Under54c3,878$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.838751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under50c3,105$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.562,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over0c2,682$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0167921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over48c2,664$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.7213946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacce…72e8backed Under53c1,898$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c1,884$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8754,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Under54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.855072%36 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+30.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over48c1,643$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.6422648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.133,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa368…d116backed Over48c1,243$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.712839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over48c1,070$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.621247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c1,061$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.898,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46020651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c794.02$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.132,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c770.8$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.876,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under53c482.08$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5813547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b9…7e01backed Over27c414.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0560%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Under49c404.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.231233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10c6…19b6backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1968253.7%44 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over47c391.3$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18491846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under53c378.87$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0720147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c340.17$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.852,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c336.4$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.533,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb342…cc01backed Over46c334.6$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.921741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over46c327.56$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.723,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Under54c237.9$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.976963.8%44 W · 25 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over47c237$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3922746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Under52c210$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.85745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c203.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fb…210ebacked Over33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9212047.5%57 W · 63 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9416148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over47c199.97$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9922453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3165649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under53c187.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7729554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Over50c167.12$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7412552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over48c164.58$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7962347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over48c159.39$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.351,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over47c147.17$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x353f…bdd4backed Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.44062.5%25 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Under52c111.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5418459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over52c108.93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6429650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Over47c105.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over43c100.19$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0988057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4728056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4741052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5046346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4824955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4739435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3414252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Over54c92.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027847.1%131 W · 147 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc8b…8925backed Under54c87.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.451060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb1…8ec8backed Under54c86.14$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.621650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d4c…41c4backed Under54c80.71$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.132070%14 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0622…cbc0backed Under54c79.6$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.621957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under52c72.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8662347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over48c62.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8862844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under53c50.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.941,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Under53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1731955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ad9…294fbacked Under54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.32050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c45.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.945,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over48c42.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.311,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec89…8de0backed Under53c38.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.095860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4637344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Over47c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8623950.6%121 W · 118 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7412149.6%60 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7429040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x448a…3faabacked Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.744245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over48c36.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3426839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c33…9ac6backed Under55c33.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1111352.2%59 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under52c30.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7754854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89bc…a463backed Under51c29.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.672339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7262…c2f1backed Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852875%21 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c27.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.454,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Over40c25.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.052449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7e8e…1ef0backed Under53c24.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.539954.5%54 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c86…288cbacked Under50c24.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.119242.4%39 W · 53 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under52c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5623350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x257b…c08bbacked Under53c20.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.754946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6d…a962backed Over50c20.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.371650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Under51c20.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9110951.4%56 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1c1…1bebbacked Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.