NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67fe32901a40a47da619f6f1dc3f3e30fb3accc82a1b3f6bbe051f79def0d21d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13db…f99cbacked Under | 39c | 8,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,879.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…4474backed Over | 61c | 6,685$4,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 38c | 1,886$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.68 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 55c | 1,775$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 1,253$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…e860backed Over | 67c | 1,013$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 956.49$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 35c | 777$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.01 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 61c | 737.7$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 63c | 465$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.11 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 359.3$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.44 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 21c | 224.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 62c | 212$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 62c | 203.33$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.45 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Over | 61c | 163.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 35c | 154.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 37c | 126.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 37c | 121.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 49c | 113.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 36c | 102.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 43c | 83.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 42c | 82.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…2fdabacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 66c | 67.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 35c | 57.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 43c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 48c | 47.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…cc8cbacked Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 44c | 43.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Over | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 37c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 40.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…ba84backed Under | 37c | 40.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 32c | 39.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 36.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Over | 71c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…0c17backed Over | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 58c | 19.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 58c | 18.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Over | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. LakersLakers won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 243.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.