TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$267,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$271,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under49c105,755$51,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,898.4254539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Under51c62,712$31,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,728.768944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c35,769$17,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,520.222,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over50c34,532$17,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,26629351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c34,000$17,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,9201,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over51c21,091$10,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,761.6129650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c18,529$9,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,449.791,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c14,396$7,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,066.243,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over51c14,057$7,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,169.141,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over51c13,757$7,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,016.0816547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over51c12,941$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6004535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under50c12,335$6,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,157.3151354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c11,658$5,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,903.372,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00048352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c8,592$4,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,270.039,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08017348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c5,938$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.54,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacce…72e8backed Under48c5,256$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over28c3,188$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.981,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over55c3,055$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.981,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Under49c2,774$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.3311443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under48c2,547$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.232,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over52c2,494$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29040243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c2,489$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.118,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c2,450$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over48c2,206$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.8417744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Under51c2,059$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.828838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c2,032$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.986,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over52c1,800$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9363,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over48c1,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under50c1,643$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.522648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Under52c1,354$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.75964.4%38 W · 21 L+9.8wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c1,273$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.472,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45026637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over51c727.06$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.823850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Under52c652.67$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.284131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over50c575.77$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.8938242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over49c531.61$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.4949345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over51c531.53$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.0813951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed3…983fbacked Over49c504.67$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.291952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26014248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7356…b839backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over45c463.54$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.0226839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over50c405$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.524151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over50c400$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19822746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10c6…19b6backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008253.7%44 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Under50c396.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4321854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade1…0493backed Under50c377$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.53740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over35c343.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.123,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over50c316.82$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.211,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14425846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15330641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over50c300$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14991148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Under50c299.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9956154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c289.24$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.653,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over51c257.35$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.252,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under47c214.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4732952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over46c213.35$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3553149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over51c204.61$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3519045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9325…adafbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0811754.7%64 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over51c185.53$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6221748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over51c175.96$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.471,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…df3cbacked Under50c175.04$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.525151%26 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c171.72$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.444,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…bce5backed Under51c151.38$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.181675%12 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+60%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c4c…cec8backed Under51c148.18$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.61944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under50c148.02$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6145452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…1618backed Under51c136.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.082263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under61c127.49$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked Under54c125.24$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.243663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x296e…dd82backed Over10c122.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over50c116.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6962844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c111.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6982…5831backed Over51c111.3$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.762955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b19…a980backed Under50c104.7$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4939435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5115240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.047332.9%24 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.047247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Over52c85.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6712552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe46c…8526backed Over51c79.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.514139%16 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under58c77$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.342,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under51c76.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7227246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over52c69.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.031,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c0…d72dbacked Under73c68.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.162245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd92…50a5backed Under51c68.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.371668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Over43c66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.564944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4bf…c71ebacked Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.823661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8229040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018536.2%67 W · 118 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over50c56.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0692750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over51c54.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9552246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Under51c54.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7725651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e0e…9f75backed Over51c52.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.981323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c52.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.083,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.