NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b0fa8563253c01f9be4696516f9635ccef1e480a29d93e83f3f3f41b4670afc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 23,962$10,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,127.3 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 14,311$7,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,796.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Over | 51c | 13,995$7,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,152.69 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Under | 47c | 10,698$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,697.61 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 6,100$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.77 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 49c | 3,469$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.19 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 3,126$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 54c | 2,400$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.62 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 53c | 1,818$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.73 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 1,721$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.37 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 53c | 1,585$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.05 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Over | 55c | 1,561$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.73 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 1,405$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 55c | 1,335$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 1,194$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.52 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 55c | 1,092$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 55c | 1,049$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Under | 47c | 664.45$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.45 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +9.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 624.99$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.74 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Under | 45c | 600$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 55c | 555.19$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.06 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 514.16$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.89 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 46c | 418.33$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.9 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 53c | 372.4$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.37 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 55c | 249.32$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 52c | 196.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.39 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 52c | 179.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 174.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…c09fbacked Under | 48c | 142.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 137.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 131.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 45c | 109.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 55c | 107.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 47c | 102.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 52c | 101.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 100.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 55c | 99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 49c | 93.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Under | 46c | 79.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 79.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 56c | 78.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…0a06backed Over | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Over | 57c | 52.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 50.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Over | 55c | 49.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Under | 46c | 44.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 49c | 37.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 49c | 31.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…a9ddbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fe…068ebacked Under | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…b2a2backed Over | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 52c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Over | 55c | 19.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 54c | 19.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. LakersLakers won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 243.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.