NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a5eed291b784bce68e43cb192de7dd42556885a2e1a49744ddd2aabb98cefb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 35c | 1,189$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.23 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 75c | 1,088$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.3 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 28c | 887.65$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.01 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 59c | 794.33$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.23 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 40c | 596$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Over | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 35c | 493.25$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.3 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 67c | 482$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.19 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 34c | 446.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 34c | 348.54$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 67c | 303.07$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…1d1ebacked Under | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 288.88$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.88 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 59c | 275.28$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 51c | 270$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 36c | 262.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 63c | 228.51$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 66c | 222$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc56…b1b7backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 195.17$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 12c | 172.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 66c | 162.85$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 67c | 150.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Under | 33c | 142.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 141.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 37c | 101.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 36c | 89.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 36c | 84.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 53c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 66c | 81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 60c | 79.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 65c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 66c | 71.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 65c | 69.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5c…2775backed Under | 36c | 68.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb551…a2f3backed Over | 56c | 68.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 44c | 64.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb0…c9f8backed Under | 35c | 58.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 34c | 45.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 33c | 44.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 65c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 63c | 31.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…cf21backed Over | 66c | 30.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…089bbacked Over | 66c | 30.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Over | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Over | 66c | 22.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…8ec8backed Over | 65c | 20.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed Over | 65c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Over | 65c | 18.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5this page
- Ducks vs. SharksSharks won
- Ducks vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Sharks won
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.