TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,917 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over54c5,693$3,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,591.462,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under45c5,241$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.4651550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c4,870$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.061,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over55c3,633$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.622,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under44c3,333$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.527547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfd9…648dbacked Over55c3,167$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under46c2,780$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27935829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49dc…2287backed Under75c2,722$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Over55c2,273$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.444372.1%31 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over55c2,043$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.21,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over55c1,800$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81050251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c1,735$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.531,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Over56c1,530$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.8727044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under46c1,391$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64031828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under45c1,374$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.1436748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c1,229$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.071,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over55c1,134$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.3311058.2%64 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over33c1,084$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.72,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over54c1,000$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.741,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over57c896.87$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.5418557.8%107 W · 78 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under45c750$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.562346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under45c622.48$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.191,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…9bd9backed Under46c534.99$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.16354%34 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under44c530.12$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.3911248.2%54 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c503.63$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.3976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over60c415.5$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.2589355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c370.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1411245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over54c299.98$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9948552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Over55c281.82$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.821586.7%13 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+66.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over55c254.55$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5530855.5%171 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over45c225.23$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0782353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over54c185$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over36c183$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3524946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5725258.3%147 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Under67c169.18$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over54c152$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9235551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Over40c151$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.948548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Under55c145$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Under70c133.76$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.282360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over54c130$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.882043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under22c125$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.56011.7%7 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over55c123.44$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5514353.1%76 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over55c117.7$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9645651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over52c104$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9226154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c89.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.63,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3612551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3615248%73 W · 79 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over58c75.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5713445.5%61 W · 73 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under46c72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.123056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Under42c71.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Over55c67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1510359.2%61 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Under45c66.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0324346.1%112 W · 131 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over80c65$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3229553.6%158 W · 137 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Over55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.642842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Under47c59.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.95451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over55c58.29$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2315651.9%81 W · 75 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under44c58.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.747753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under45c56.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.336349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under46c55.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6714650%73 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd4c…394abacked Under46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258146.9%38 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1659852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over51c49.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.041,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over50c47.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.741,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under47c44.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2130549.2%150 W · 155 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over42c41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7833251.5%171 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bc…ec35backed Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.42142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d70…cc5ebacked Under75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Over55c38.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.416262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over66c38.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2292049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x978b…42aebacked Over54c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.55658.9%33 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under49c29.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.58757.5%50 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over53c27.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8215349%75 W · 78 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.27837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over57c27.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.698053.8%43 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under45c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1586049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c26.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.062,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68f…58edbacked Under46c26.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.122321.7%5 W · 18 L-6.3wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-57.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over55c25.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4816549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Over55c23.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.662373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52a8…83f2backed Under55c23.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Over58c21.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.142161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over55c20.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0566552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914158.2%82 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf1…8958backed Over56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b0…41bfbacked Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over55c19.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.868060%48 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45cc…4b16backed Over56c18.07$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.951050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.