TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Ducks, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,350,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,367,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,350,484 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 898 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Ducks49c308,268$152,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,351.4216442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Sharks51c259,876$132,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127,540.2651550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks51c218,312$110,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,679.471,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Ducks49c200,000$98,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,999.9922443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Ducks49c124,247$61,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,141.181,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Sharks51c120,000$61,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,799.9248545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Ducks48c100,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,999.9940351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Sharks51c84,396$42,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,499.0636748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks52c70,404$36,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,892.321,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sharks50c69,165$34,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,877.121,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Ducks51c60,000$30,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,599.9967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Sharks47c23,055$10,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,181.527448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Ducks49c16,217$7,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,946.332365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb148…9355backed Ducks50c15,340$7,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,670633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks49c15,000$7,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3801,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Ducks49c15,000$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,349.8511553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Sharks51c12,845$6,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,331.6440356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Ducks56c12,426$6,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,941.721233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Ducks42c12,331$5,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,150.862,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ducks49c12,082$5,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,920.161,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Ducks47c11,446$5,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,397.2451045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Sharks52c10,404$5,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,993.8589355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Ducks51c10,000$5,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,08061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Ducks45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Sharks51c9,799$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,801.35875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Ducks50c9,428$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,71485250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Sharks54c8,690$4,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,038.5937754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Sharks54c8,561$4,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,969.7518853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Ducks49c8,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,919.892347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Ducks49c7,774$3,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,809.3124349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Sharks51c7,361$3,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,622.7214062.1%87 W · 53 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Sharks51c7,000$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4302552%13 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Sharks53c6,697$3,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,179.3119759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sharks38c6,578$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,096.52,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Ducks50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00027850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Ducks50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Ducks50c6,000$2,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,979.9915749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks49c5,614$2,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,746.891,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Sharks48c5,512$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,858.9850049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Ducks49c5,100$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.9232151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Sharks55c5,028$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.1185464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Sharks51c4,980$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.210145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Sharks51c4,706$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.885541.8%23 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Sharks60c4,637$2,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.024045%18 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Sharks54c4,540$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.9582043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4084…357abacked Ducks79c4,435$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Sharks50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00013446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Ducks51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9639752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed Ducks49c3,980$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.21030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Ducks49c3,919$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92916843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Sharks52c3,705$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.613856.5%78 W · 60 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Ducks50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Sharks51c3,351$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.7114650%73 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Sharks16c3,310$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,763.8530259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Ducks38c3,123$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.6133234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Sharks52c3,045$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.8913252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Sharks55c3,015$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.8637857.4%217 W · 161 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Ducks50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.0243548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Ducks50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005552.7%29 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sharks51c2,996$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.371,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Ducks50c2,750$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3755052%26 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Sharks51c2,702$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.1233450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Ducks50c2,602$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.197258.3%42 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Sharks20c2,502$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.527244.4%32 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Sharks51c2,400$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17630946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sharks52c2,285$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.643,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed Ducks49c2,168$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.321145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ducks49c2,141$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0492,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Sharks49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07183652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Sharks51c2,088$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.110941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Ducks50c2,045$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.6512653.2%67 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sharks49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Sharks49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa967…0c8fbacked Ducks55c2,000$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.781442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Sharks51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7831550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Sharks51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.782360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Sharks52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.081662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Sharks49c1,910$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.12650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks51c1,887$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.3686649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Ducks51c1,850$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.57354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Sharks63c1,700$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.6957157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Sharks49c1,636$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.713969.2%27 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+41%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Sharks50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80044551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3a…de76backed Ducks39c1,577$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Sharks39c1,541$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.2812328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sharks61c1,520$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.382,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Sharks49c1,496$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.923450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Ducks50c1,491$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.4528549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Ducks48c1,467$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.4328842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Ducks49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ducks47c1,374$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.431,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Sharks49c1,320$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.214954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Sharks55c1,293$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.6315245.4%69 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Sharks50c1,282$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.9213351.1%68 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4b…fddebacked Sharks26c1,230$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.26837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0140…9510backed Sharks51c1,216$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.871631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Sharks51c1,176$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.9727037.4%101 W · 169 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a5e…81ffbacked Ducks50c1,154$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.151145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Sharks51c1,133$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.0611151.4%57 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Sharks61c1,129$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.7542254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.