WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5ee80b69292fbd8b86f7b0103c71d0e2548e38d0b81324728c52d1707382a2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 61c | 4,231$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.94 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 0c | 3,425$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under | 53c | 1,993$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.09 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 1,726$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4d…51a0backed Over | 54c | 1,271$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 39c | 1,215$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.67 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 38c | 1,200$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.18 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Under | 36c | 1,065$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.48 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Over | 46c | 824.16$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.85 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 38c | 796.61$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.9 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 51c | 754.65$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.82 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 9c | 449.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 398.14$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Under | 56c | 340.87$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 40c | 236.39$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.83 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…2514backed Over | 42c | 190.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Under | 61c | 163.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 42c | 155$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Over | 49c | 149.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 39c | 135.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 56c | 134$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Under | 55c | 127.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 108$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ce…e232backed Over | 47c | 106.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…b574backed Over | 48c | 52.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…3e44backed Under | 58c | 50.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…8ec8backed Under | 58c | 48.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…f86ebacked Under | 58c | 46.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…ba5fbacked Under | 58c | 45.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e1…d4d9backed Over | 45c | 43.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…17e0backed Over | 45c | 42.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…6266backed Over | 45c | 41.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Under | 62c | 40.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 78c | 37.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 46c | 33.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 61c | 32.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 43c | 30.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ce…0fbcbacked Under | 57c | 29.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 54c | 27.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc0…749abacked Under | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 55c | 21.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Under | 56c | 18.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 168.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix MercuryMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.