WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48437f7a8c0aedd0bbdebaab5c37082236228f811a089ac688f7549e9d62702e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1449…a618backed Under | 1c | 12,990$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 2c | 4,854$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.73 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 49c | 4,114$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.12 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 2,754$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.23 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 0c | 2,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 2,314$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.94 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 3c | 2,113$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 1,324$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.6 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 49c | 1,187$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.69 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 78c | 1,026$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.65 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 52c | 862.14$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.51 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 52c | 819.43$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 51c | 586.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.36 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Over | 51c | 576.66$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.66 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 476.21$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.34 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 3c | 403.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 43c | 362$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 52c | 279.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.92 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 33c | 256$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 43c | 235$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 46c | 153.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 146$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Under | 50c | 129.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 80c | 125.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 51c | 114.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 101.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 61c | 99.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 21c | 93.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 16c | 82.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Under | 46c | 79.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 48c | 69.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 55c | 59.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 54c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e58…4309backed Over | 48c | 28.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Under | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe7…24a0backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 48c | 23.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 47c | 23.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix MercuryMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 168.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.